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Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Weather radar data are critical for nowcasting and an integral component of numerical weather prediction models. While weather radar data provide valuable information at high resolution, their ground-based nature limits their availability,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-07 Çağlar Küçük , Apostolos Giannakos , Stefan Schneider , Alexander Jann

In applied machine learning, concept drift, which is either gradual or abrupt changes in data distribution, can significantly reduce model performance. Typical detection methods,such as statistical tests or reconstruction-based models,are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 N Harshit , K Mounvik

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

Transformer-based foundation models have achieved remarkable progress in tasks such as time-series forecasting and image segmentation. However, they frequently suffer from error accumulation in multivariate long-sequence prediction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Hua Wang , Jinghao Lu , Fan Zhang

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing the operation and planning of PV systems, thereby enabling efficient energy management and grid integration. However, un certainties caused by fluctuating weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen , Dongxiao Zhang

Accurately estimating workload runtime is a longstanding goal in computer systems, and plays a key role in efficient resource provisioning, latency minimization, and various other system management tasks. Runtime prediction is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Tianshu Huang , Arjun Ramesh , Emily Ruppel , Nuno Pereira , Anthony Rowe , Carlee Joe-Wong

Erroneous GNSS positioning, failures in spacecraft operations and power outages due to geomagnetically induced currents are severe threats originating from space weather. Having knowledge of potential impacts on modern society in advance is…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-06-29 Carsten Baumann , Aoife E. McCloskey

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Solar flares are explosions on the Sun. They happen when energy stored in magnetic fields around solar active regions (ARs) is suddenly released. In this paper, we present a transformer-based framework, named SolarFlareNet, for predicting…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-28 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang

Solar active regions (ARs) are the primary source of solar eruptions and space weather. Accurate detection and tracking of ARs is crucial for understanding their evolution and predicting solar activities. In the previous work, based on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-25 C. X. Shi , Q. Hao , P. F. Chen , Y. Guo

Forward Collision Warning systems are crucial for vehicle safety and autonomous driving, yet current methods often fail to balance precise multi-agent interaction modeling with real-time decision adaptability, evidenced by the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Haoran Hu , Junren Shi , Shuo Jiang , Kun Cheng , Xia Yang , Changhao Piao

Reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is a foundational requirement for grid stability energy trading battery scheduling and carbon aware operational planning Solar and wind resources are inherently intermittent their output…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Pavan Manjunath , Thomas Pruefer

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Vehicle acceleration and deceleration maneuvers at traffic signals results in significant fuel and energy consumption levels. Green light optimal speed advisory systems require reliable estimates of signal switching times to improve vehicle…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-19 Seifeldeen Eteifa , Hesham A. Rakha , Hoda Eldardiry

The continuous observation of the magnetic field by Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces numerous image sequences in time and space. These sequences provide data support for predicting the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-23 Liang Bai , Yi Bi , Bo Yang , Jun-Chao Hong , Zhe Xu , Zhen-Hong Shang , Hui Liu , Hai-Sheng Ji , Kai-Fan Ji

Latency in the control loop of adaptive optics (AO) systems can severely limit performance. Under the frozen flow hypothesis linear predictive control techniques can overcome this, however identification and tracking of relevant turbulent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Xuewen Liu , Tim Morris , Chris Saunter , Francisco Javier de Cos Juez , Carlos González-Gutiérrez , Lisa Bardou

The Transformer, a breakthrough architecture in artificial intelligence, owes its success to the attention mechanism, which utilizes long-range interactions in sequential data, enabling the emergent coherence between large language models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Zihan Zhou , Bo-Wei Qin , Kai Du , Wei Lin