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Machine-learning-assisted cancer subtyping is a promising avenue in digital pathology. Cancer subtyping models, however, require careful training using expert annotations so that they can be inferred with a degree of known certainty (or…

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

As machine learning systems get widely adopted for high-stake decisions, quantifying uncertainty over predictions becomes crucial. While modern neural networks are making remarkable gains in terms of predictive accuracy, characterizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Melanie F. Pradier , Weiwei Pan , Jiayu Yao , Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-velez

Camouflaged Object Detection (COD), the task of identifying objects concealed within their environments, has seen rapid growth due to its wide range of practical applications. A key step toward developing trustworthy COD systems is the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Ziyue Yang , Kehan Wang , Yuhang Ming , Yong Peng , Han Yang , Qiong Chen , Wanzeng Kong

This paper concerns the study of optimal (supremum and infimum) uncertainty bounds for systems where the input (or prior) probability measure is only partially/imperfectly known (e.g., with only statistical moments and/or on a coarse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Xingsheng Sun , Burigede Liu

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have been established as the main workhorse in image data processing; nonetheless, they require large amounts of data to train, often produce overconfident predictions, and frequently lack the ability to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sarah Harkins Dayton , Hayden Everett , Ioannis Schizas , David L. Boothe , Vasileios Maroulas

Quantifying uncertainty is important for actionable predictions in real-world applications. A crucial part of predictive uncertainty quantification is the estimation of epistemic uncertainty, which is defined as an integral of the product…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Günter Klambauer , Sepp Hochreiter

In the early stages of drug discovery, decisions regarding which experiments to pursue can be influenced by computational models. These decisions are critical due to the time-consuming and expensive nature of the experiments. Therefore, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Emma Svensson , Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

Uncertainty-aware controllers that guarantee safety are critical for safety critical applications. Among such controllers, Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) based approaches are popular because they are fast, yet safe. However, most such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Masoud Ataei , Vikas Dhiman

Automated medical image segmentation, specifically using deep learning, has shown outstanding performance in semantic segmentation tasks. However, these methods rarely quantify their uncertainty, which may lead to errors in downstream…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-25 Zach Eaton-Rosen , Felix Bragman , Sotirios Bisdas , Sebastien Ourselin , M. Jorge Cardoso

We introduce a parameterization method called Neural Bayes which allows computing statistical quantities that are in general difficult to compute and opens avenues for formulating new objectives for unsupervised representation learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-24 Devansh Arpit , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher , Yoshua Bengio

Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-28 Nick Pawlowski , Andrew Brock , Matthew C. H. Lee , Martin Rajchl , Ben Glocker

The bounded rationality is a crucial component in human behaviors. It plays a key role in the typical collective behavior of evacuation, in which the heterogeneous information leads to the deviation of rational choices. In this study, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-28 Huaidian Hou , Lingxiao Wang

Uncertainty quantification is a key component of machine learning models targeted at safety-critical systems such as in healthcare or autonomous vehicles. We study this problem in the context of meta learning, where the goal is to quickly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Sangdon Park , Edgar Dobriban , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani

We propose a method for formally certifying and quantifying individual fairness of deep neural networks (DNN). Individual fairness guarantees that any two individuals who are identical except for a legally protected attribute (e.g., gender…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Brian Hyeongseok Kim , Jingbo Wang , Chao Wang

In multimedia forensics, learning-based methods provide state-of-the-art performance in determining origin and authenticity of images and videos. However, most existing methods are challenged by out-of-distribution data, i.e., with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Anatol Maier , Benedikt Lorch , Christian Riess

The Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is a hospital department where machine learning has the potential to provide valuable assistance in clinical decision making. Classical machine learning models usually only provide point-estimates and no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 David Ruhe , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti , Daan de Bruin , Paul Elbers

Graph contrastive learning has shown great promise when labeled data is scarce, but large unlabeled datasets are available. However, it often does not take uncertainty estimation into account. We show that a variational Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Alexander Möllers , Alexander Immer , Elvin Isufi , Vincent Fortuin

While offering a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, the employment of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) is still constrained by their increased computational requirements and the convergence difficulties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Moule Lin , Shuhao Guan , Weipeng Jing , Goetz Botterweck , Andrea Patane