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Existing survival analysis techniques heavily rely on strong modelling assumptions and are, therefore, prone to model misspecification errors. In this paper, we develop an inferential method based on ideas from conformal prediction, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Emmanuel J. Candès , Lihua Lei , Zhimei Ren

The promotion time cure rate model (PCM) is an extensively studied model for the analysis of time-to-event data in the presence of a cured subgroup. There are several strategies proposed in the literature to model the latency part of PCM.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Suvra Pal , Wisdom Aselisewine

Nonparametric and semiparametric methods are commonly used in survival analysis to mitigate the bias due to model misspecification. However, such methods often cannot estimate upper-tail survival quantiles when a sizable proportion of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Yifan Wang , Tian You , Martin Lysy

Survival time is the primary endpoint of many randomized controlled trials, and a treatment effect is typically quantified by the hazard ratio under the assumption of proportional hazards. Awareness is increasing that in many settings this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-04 Robin Ristl , Heiko Götte , Armin Schüler , Martin Posch , Franz König

Detection limit (DL) has become an increasingly ubiquitous issue in statistical analyses of biomedical studies, such as cytokine, metabolite and protein analysis. In regression analysis, if an explanatory variable is left-censored due to…

Stepped wedge designs (SWDs) are increasingly used to evaluate longitudinal cluster-level interventions but pose substantial challenges for valid inference. Because crossover times are randomized, intervention effects are intrinsically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fan Xia , K. C. Gary Chan , Emily Voldal , Avi Kenny , Patrick J. Heagerty , James P. Hughes

Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partially observed (e.g., overall survival in cancer trials but with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Emil Javurek , Stefan Feuerriegel

Network estimation from multi-variate point process or time series data is a problem of fundamental importance. Prior work has focused on parametric approaches that require a known parametric model, which makes estimation procedures less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-30 Yue Gao , Garvesh Raskutti

After admission to emergency department (ED), patients with critical illnesses are transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) due to unexpected clinical deterioration occurrence. Identifying such unplanned ICU transfers is urgently needed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Chun-An Chou , Qingtao Cao , Shao-Jen Weng , Che-Hung Tsai

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

A conditional expectation function (CEF) can at best be partially identified when the conditioning variable is interval censored. When the number of bins is small, existing methods often yield minimally informative bounds. We propose three…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-01 Sam Asher , Paul Novosad , Charlie Rafkin

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

This study presents a semi-nonparametric Latent Class Choice Model (LCCM) with a flexible class membership component. The proposed model formulates the latent classes using mixture models as an alternative approach to the traditional random…

An every increasing number of clinical trials features a time-to-event outcome and records non-tabular patient data, such as magnetic resonance imaging or text data in the form of electronic health records. Recently, several neural-network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Gabriele Campanella , Lucas Kook , Ida Häggström , Torsten Hothorn , Thomas J. Fuchs

In this paper, we extend the vertical modeling approach for the analysis of survival data with competing risks to incorporate a cured fraction in the population, that is, a proportion of the population for which none of the competing events…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-18 M. A. Nicolaie , J. M. G. Taylor , C. Legrand

This paper proposes a unified version of survival models that accounts for both zero-adjustment and cure proportions in various latent competing causes, useful in data where survival times may be zero or cure proportions are present. These…

Modeling symptom progression to identify informative subjects for a new Huntington's disease clinical trial is problematic since time to diagnosis, a key covariate, can be heavily censored. Imputation is an appealing strategy where censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Tanya P. Garcia

In causal inference, estimating the average treatment effect is a central objective, and in the context of competing risks data, this effect can be quantified by the cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) difference. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yifei Tian , Ying Wu

In the common partially linear single-index model we establish a Bahadur representation for a smoothing spline estimator of all model parameters and use this result to prove the joint weak convergence of the estimator of the index link…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Jiajun Tang , Holger Dette

Prevalent cohort sampling is commonly used to study the natural history of a disease when the disease is rare or it usually takes a long time to observe the failure event. It is known, however, that the collected sample in this situation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Omidali Aghababaei Jazi
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