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We investigate the impact of several critical events associated with the Russo Ukrainian war, started officially on 24 February 2022 with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, on ten European electricity markets, two natural gas markets (the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Panayotis G. Papaioannou , George P. Papaioannou , George Evangelidis , George Gavalakis

In this paper we contrast the dynamics of the 2022 Ukraine invasion financial crisis with notable financial crises of the 21st century - the dot-com bubble, global financial crisis and COVID-19. We study the similarity in market dynamics…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-11 Nick James , Max Menzies

We study the impact of event-specific attention indices -- based on Google Trends -- in predictive price variation models before and during the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. We extend our analyses to the importance of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-04 Martina Halousková , Daniel Stašek , Matúš Horváth

Herding behavior has become a familiar phenomenon to investors, with potential dangers of both undervaluing and overvaluing assets, while also threatening market stability. This study contributes to the literature on herding behavior by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-18 An Pham Ngoc Nguyen , Martin Crane , Thomas Conlon , Marija Bezbradica

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

Financial markets are dynamic, interconnected systems where local shocks can trigger widespread instability, challenging portfolio managers and policymakers. Traditional correlation analysis often miss the directionality and temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Pouriya Khalilian , Amirhossein N. Golestani , Mohammad Eslamifar , Mostafa T. Firouzjaee , Javad T. Firouzjaee

We propose an algorithm to capture emergent patterns in the cross-correlations of financial markets, highlighting regime changes on a global scale. In our approach, financial markets are viewed as complex adaptive systems, and multiscale…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-02 Marina Dolfin , George Kapetanios , Leone Leonida , Jose De Leon Miranda

This paper employs Topological Data Analysis (TDA) to detect extreme events (EEs) in the stock market at a continental level. Previous approaches, which analyzed stock indices separately, could not detect EEs for multiple time series in one…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-28 Anish Rai , Buddha Nath Sharma , Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Md. Nurujjaman , Sushovan Majhi

This paper uses new and recently introduced methodologies to study the similarity in the dynamics and behaviours of cryptocurrencies and equities surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic. We study two collections; 45 cryptocurrencies and 72…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Nick James

This study aims to investigate the behavior of stock prices throughout the episodes of foreign capital flows using data of daily stock prices and quarterly foreign capital flows from 14 EMEs. To this end, the episodes of capital flows are…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boubekeur Baba , Guven Sevil

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta

Identifying macroeconomic events that are responsible for dramatic changes of economy is of particular relevance to understand the overall economic dynamics. We introduce an open-source available efficient Python implementation of a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Martin Heßler , Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps

We introduce an innovative framework that leverages advanced big data techniques to analyze dynamic co-movement between stocks and their underlying fundamentals using high-frequency stock market data. Our method identifies leading…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-07 Lyuhong Wang , Jiawei Jiang , Yang Zhao

The sporadic large fluctuations are seen in the stock market due to changes in fundamental parameters, technical setups, and external factors. These large fluctuations are termed as Extreme Events (EE). The EEs may be positive or negative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-09 Anish Rai , Salam Rabindrajit Luwang , Md Nurujjaman , Chittaranjan Hens , Pratyay Kuila , Kanish Debnath

The initial purpose of the study is to search whether the market exhibits herd behaviour or not by examining the crypto-asset market in the context of behavioural finance. And the second purpose of the study is to measure whether the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-05 Üzeyir Aydin , Büşra Ağan , Ömer Aydin

We analyze the time series of four major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple) before the digital market crash at the end of 2017 - beginning 2018. We introduce a methodology that combines topological data analysis with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Marian Gidea , Daniel Goldsmith , Yuri Katz , Pablo Roldan , Yonah Shmalo

Drawing inspiration from the significant impact of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the recent COVID-19 pandemic on global financial markets, this study conducts a thorough analysis of three key crude oil futures markets: WTI, Brent,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Yan-Hong Yang , Ying-Lin Liu , Ying-Hui Shao

We exploit a recent computational framework to model and detect financial crises in stock markets, as well as shock events in cryptocurrency markets, which are characterized by a sudden or severe drop in prices. Our method manages to detect…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Apostolos Chalkis , Emmanouil Christoforou , Theodore Dalamagkas , Ioannis Z. Emiris

This paper introduces new methods for analysing the extreme and erratic behaviour of time series to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency market dynamics. Across 51 cryptocurrencies, we examine extreme behaviour through a study…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

We study how the 2024 U.S. presidential election, viewed as a major political risk event, affected cryptocurrency markets by distinguishing human-driven peer-to-peer stablecoin transactions from automated algorithmic activity. Using…

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