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On 2032 December 22 the 60 m diameter asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of impacting the Moon. Such an impact would release 6.5 MT TNT equivalent energy and produce a ~1 km diameter crater. We estimate that up to 10^8 kg of lunar material…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-15 Paul Wiegert , Peter Brown , Jack Lopes , Martin Connors

Near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered on 2024-12-27 and its probability of Earth impact in December 2032 peaked at about 3% on 2025-02-18. Additional observations ruled out Earth impact by 2025-02-23. However, the probability of lunar…

2024 YR4 is a 40-100 meter-diameter asteroid and former Torino Scale 3 object which currently has a roughly 4% chance of impacting the Moon on 2032 December 22, an event which recent studies suggest could pose a hazard on Earth due to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Sam Deen , Derek Lam

At the end of its discovery apparition, the $\sim$60 m near-Earth object 2024 YR4 was associated with a non-zero probability of lunar impact during its 2032 December 22 close approach. While posing no threat to Earth, a lunar impact of this…

The Earth--Moon system has been experiencing impacts from asteroids and comets for billions of years. The Moon, as an airless body, has preserved a distinct record of these events in form of impact craters and ejecta deposits, offering…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-16 Yifei Jiao , Bin Cheng , Hexi Baoyin

Recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR$_4$ has an orbital period of almost exactly 4 years, a descending node located almost exactly 1 au from the Sun, with a perihelion slightly less than that. Its combination of semi-major axis and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-27 Adam Hibberd , Thomas Marshall Eubanks

During lunar eclipse of January 21, 2019 a meteoroid impacted the Moon producing a visible light flash. The impact was witnessed by casual observers offering an opportunity to study the phenomenon from multiple geographical locations. We…

We describe observations and physical characteristics of Earth-crossing asteroid 2024 YR$_4$, discovered on 2024 December 27 by the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System. The asteroid has semi-major axis, $a$ = 2.52 au,…

The Near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) 2024 PT5 is on an Earth-like orbit which remained in Earth's immediate vicinity for several months at the end of 2024. PT5's orbit is challenging to populate with asteroids originating from the Main Belt and is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-16 Theodore Kareta , Oscar Fuentes-Muñoz , Nicholas Moskovitz , Davide Farnocchia , Benjamin N. L. Sharkey

On 2013 September 11 at 20h07m28.68 $\pm$ 0.01 s UTC, two telescopes operated in the framework of our lunar impact flashes monitoring project recorded an extraordinary flash produced by the impact on the Moon of a large meteoroid at…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-25 Jose M. Madiedo , Jose L. Ortiz , Nicolas Morales , Jesus Cabrera-Caño

The intense activity of cratering on the Moon and in the inner regions of the solar system was accomplished during the first 10^9 years [1]. Occasionally, some impact events occur even nowadays. In Section 1, we treat, from a historical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Imponente , Costantino Sigismondi

Aims. Particles ejected from the lunar surface via hypervelocity impacts form a torus between the Earth and the Moon. According to our previous study (Yang et al., A\&A, 659, A120), among them about $2.3\times10^{-4}\,\mathrm{kg/s}$…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-22 Kun Yang , Yu Jiang , Youpeng Liang , Xiaodong Liu

We discuss here a lunar impact flash recorded during the total lunar eclipse that occurred on 2019 January 21, at 4h 41m 38.09 +- 0.01 s UT. This is the first time ever that an impact flash is unambiguously recorded during a lunar eclipse…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-14 José M. Madiedo , José L. Ortiz , Nicolás Morales , Pablo Santos-Sanz

The transfer of material between planetary bodies due to impact events is important for understanding planetary evolution, meteoroid impact fluxes, the formation of near-Earth objects (NEOs), and even the provenance of volatile and organic…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-23 Jose Daniel Castro-Cisneros , Renu Malhotra , Aaron J. Rosengren

We present results of the NELIOTA campaign for lunar impact flashes observed with the 1.2 m Kryoneri telescope. From August 2019 to August 2023, we report 113 validated and 70 suspected flashes. For the validated flashes, we calculate the…

We have conducted numerical simulations to reproduce the observed optical energy profile of the 15 October 2021 (UT) impact flash on Jupiter, which was the largest and the most well-observed flash event detected by ground-based movie…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-19 Ko Arimatsu , Kohji Tsumura , Fumihiko Usui , Jun-ichi Watanabe

The leading-trailing asymmetry in lunar crater distribution provides a critical record of inner solar system dynamics, yet the long-standing discrepancy between the observed higher asymmetry and lower theoretical predictions indicates a gap…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-12 Hailiang Li , Xiaoping Zhang , Li-Yong Zhou

In the last 20 years, over 600 impact flashes have been documented on the lunar surface. This wealth of data presents a unique opportunity to study the meteoroid flux of the Earth-Moon environment, and in recent years the physical…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-23 Daniel Sheward , Chrysa Avdellidou , Anthony Cook , Elliot Sefton-Nash , Marco Delbo , Bruno Cantarella , Luigi Zanatta
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