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Piecewise constant priors are routinely used in the Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. Despite its popularity, large sample properties of this Bayesian method are not yet well understood. This work provides a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Bo Y. -C. Ning , Ismaël Castillo

We develop a general class of Bayesian repulsive Gaussian mixture models that encourage well-separated clusters, aiming at reducing potentially redundant components produced by independent priors for locations (such as the Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Frequentist coverage of $(1-\alpha)$-highest posterior density (HPD) credible sets is studied in a signal plus noise model under a large class of noise distributions. We consider a specific class of spike-and-slab prior distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Kevin Duisters , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We show that the optimal decision policy for several types of Bayesian sequential detection problems has a threshold switching curve structure on the space of posterior distributions. This is established by using lattice programming and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Clinical investigators are increasingly interested in discovering computational biomarkers from short-term longitudinal omics data sets. This work focuses on Bayesian regression and variable selection for longitudinal omics datasets, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Livia Popa , Sumanta Basu , Myung Hee Lee , Martin T. Wells

Gene-environment (G$\times$E) interactions have important implications to elucidate the etiology of complex diseases beyond the main genetic and environmental effects. Outliers and data contamination in disease phenotypes of G$\times$E…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jie Ren , Fei Zhou , Xiaoxi Li , Shuangge Ma , Yu Jiang , Cen Wu

Crossover designs are an extremely useful tool to investigators, whilst group sequential methods have proven highly proficient at improving the efficiency of parallel group trials. Yet, group sequential methods and crossover designs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Group sequential designs in clinical trials allow for interim efficacy and futility monitoring. Adjustment for baseline covariates can increase power and precision of estimated effects. However, inconsistently applying covariate adjustment…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Marlena S. Bannick , Sonya L. Heltshe , Noah Simon

Test procedures for multiple hypotheses in a group sequential clinical trial that control the family-wise error rate are considered. Several graphical group sequential tests suggested in the literature, which are special cases of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Liane Kluge , Werner Brannath

Penalized B-splines are routinely used in additive models to describe smooth changes in a response with quantitative covariates. It is typically done through the conditional mean in the exponential family using generalized additive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Philippe Lambert

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely employed in control and learning because of their principled treatment of uncertainty. However, tracking uncertainty for iterative, multi-step predictions in general leads to an analytically intractable…

We propose a robust Bayesian formulation of random feature (RF) regression that accounts explicitly for prior and likelihood misspecification via Huber-style contamination sets. Starting from the classical equivalence between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Michele Caprio , Katerina Papagiannouli , Siu Lun Chau , Sayan Mukherjee

Consider the normal linear regression setup when the number of covariates p is much larger than the sample size n, and the covariates form correlated groups. The response variable y is not related to an entire group of covariates in all or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Pranay Agarwal , Subhajit Dutta , Minerva Mukhopadhyay

We study Bayesian group-regularized estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear models (GLMs) under a continuous spike-and-slab prior. Our framework covers both canonical and non-canonical link functions and subsumes logistic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Ray Bai

In oncological clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard endpoint, but long follow-up and treatment switching can delay or dilute detectable effects. Progression-free survival (PFS) often provides earlier evidence and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Kaspar Rufibach , Jan Beyersmann , René Schmidt

Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Run Wang , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

In Bayesian semi-parametric analyses of time-to-event data, non-parametric process priors are adopted for the baseline hazard function or the cumulative baseline hazard function for a given finite partition of the time axis. However, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-06 Yi Li , Sumi Seo , Kyu Ha Lee

There is growing interest in Bayesian clinical trial designs with informative prior distributions, e.g. for extrapolation of adult data to pediatrics, or use of external controls. While the classical type I error is commonly used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Nicky Best , Maxine Ajimi , Beat Neuenschwander , Gaelle Saint-Hilary , Simon Wandel

This paper explores the multiple testing problem for sparse high-dimensional data with binary outcomes. We propose novel empirical Bayes multiple testing procedures based on a spike-and-slab posterior and then evaluate their performance in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Yu-Chien Bo Ning