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We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

We investigate the statistical evidence for the use of `rough' fractional processes with Hurst exponent $H< 0.5$ for the modeling of volatility of financial assets, using a model-free approach. We introduce a non-parametric method for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Rama Cont , Purba Das

We investigate synchronization by noise for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fbm) with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. Provided that the SDE has a negative top Lyapunov exponent, we show that a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Alexandra Blessing , Mazyar Ghani Varzaneh

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with long-range correlations in time; it has been shown to be a useful model of anomalous diffusion. Here, we investigate the effects of mutual interactions in an ensemble of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jonathan House , Rashad Bakhshizada , Skirmantas Janušonis , Ralf Metzler , Thomas Vojta

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

A recently proposed alternative to multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) with random Hurst exponent is studied, which we refer to as It\^o-mBm. It is shown that It\^o-mBm is locally self-similar. In contrast to mBm, its pathwise regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Dennis Loboda , Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

In this paper, we investigate large-scale linear systems driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst parameter $H\in [1/2, 1)$. We interpret these equations either in the sense of Young ($H>1/2$) or Stratonovich ($H=1/2$).…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Nahid Jamshidi , Martin Redmann

The stochastic trajectories of molecules in living cells, as well as the dynamics in many other complex systems, often exhibit memory in their path over long periods of time. In addition, these systems can show dynamic heterogeneities due…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-10 Michał Balcerek , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Krzysztof Burnecki , Ralf Metzler , Diego Krapf

Fractional Brownian motion (FBM), a non-Markovian self-similar Gaussian stochastic process with long-ranged correlations, represents a widely applied, paradigmatic mathematical model of anomalous diffusion. We report the results of…

The goal of this paper is to establish a relation between characteristic polynomials of $N\times N$ GUE random matrices $\mathcal{H}$ as $N\to\infty$, and Gaussian processes with logarithmic correlations. We introduce a regularized version…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-09-05 Y. V. Fyodorov , B. A. Khoruzhenko , N. J. Simm

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-09 Jiro Akahori , Xiaoming Song , Tai-Ho Wang

The fractional Brownian motion of index $0 < H < 1$, H-FBM, with d-dimensional time is considered on an expanding set TG, where G is a bounded convex domain that contains 0 at its boundary. The main result: if 0 is a point of smoothness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 G. Molchan

We examine two stochastic processes with random parameters, which in their basic versions (i.e., when the parameters are fixed) are Gaussian and display long range dependence and anomalous diffusion behavior, characterized by the Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hubert Woszczek , Agnieszka Wylomanska , Aleksei Chechkin

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

The fractional Brownian motion can be considered as a Gaussian field indexed by $(t,H)\in {\mathbb{R}_{+}\times (0,1)}$, where $H$ is the Hurst parameter. On compact time intervals, it is known to be almost surely jointly H\"older…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

Fractional Brownian motion is a generalised Gaussian diffusive process that is found to describe numerous stochastic phenomena in physics and biology. Here we introduce a multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (FBM) defined as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-14 Jae-Hyung Jeon , Aleksei V. Chechkin , Ralf Metzler

Fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter $H<\frac{1}{2}$ is used widely, for instance, to describe a 'rough' stochastic volatility process in finance. In this paper, we examine an Ait-Sahalia-type interest rate model driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Emmanuel Coffie , Xuerong Mao , Frank Proske

Fractional Brownian motion has become a standard tool to address long-range dependence in financial time series. However, a constant memory parameter is too restrictive to address different market conditions. Here we model the price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-31 Axel A. Araneda

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos