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Neural networks have proven to be effective at solving machine learning tasks but it is unclear whether they learn any relevant causal relationships, while their black-box nature makes it difficult for modellers to understand and debug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Learning DAG structures from purely observational data remains a long-standing challenge across scientific domains. An emerging line of research leverages the score of the data distribution to initially identify a topological order of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Vy Vo , He Zhao , Trung Le , Edwin V. Bonilla , Dinh Phung

This paper describes a generalization of previous methods for constructing tree-structured belief network with hidden variables. The major new feature of the described method is the ability to produce a tree decomposition even when there…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 L. Liu , Y. Ma , D. Wilkins , Z. Bian , X. Ying

Causal analysis has become an essential component in understanding the underlying causes of phenomena across various fields. Despite its significance, existing literature on causal discovery algorithms is fragmented, with inconsistent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Wenjin Niu , Zijun Gao , Liyan Song , Lingbo Li

Poly-trees are singly connected causal networks in which variables may arise from multiple causes. This paper develops a method of recovering ply-trees from empirically measured probability distributions of pairs of variables. The method…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 George Rebane , Judea Pearl

Revealing the underlying causal mechanisms in the real world is crucial for scientific and technological progress. Despite notable advances in recent decades, the lack of high-quality data and the reliance of traditional causal discovery…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huaming Du , Tao Hu , Yijie Huang , Yu Zhao , Guisong Liu , Tao Gu , Gang Kou , Carl Yang

Causal and attribution studies are essential for earth scientific discoveries and critical for informing climate, ecology, and water policies. However, the current generation of methods needs to keep pace with the complexity of scientific…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-27 Elizabeth Eldhose , Tejasvi Chauhan , Vikram Chandel , Subimal Ghosh , Auroop R. Ganguly

Language models generate reasoning sequentially, preventing them from decoupling irrelevant exploration paths during search. We introduce Tree-Structured Language Modeling (TSLM), which uses special tokens to encode branching structure,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Doyoung Kim , Jaehyeok Doo , Minjoon Seo

Large Language Models (LLMs) are accelerating scientific idea generation, but rigorously evaluating these numerous, often superficial, AI-generated propositions for novelty and factual accuracy is a critical bottleneck; manual verification…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Xin Wang , Jiyao Liu , Yulong Xiao , Junzhi Ning , Lihao Liu , Junjun He , Botian Shi , Kaicheng Yu

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

A central question for causal inference is to decide whether a set of correlations fit a given causal structure. In general, this decision problem is computationally infeasible and hence several approaches have emerged that look for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-07-26 Mirjam Weilenmann , Roger Colbeck

Deliberative tree search is a cornerstone of modern Large Language Model (LLM) research, driving the pivot from brute-force scaling toward algorithmic efficiency. This single paradigm unifies two critical frontiers: \textbf{Test-Time…

Knowledge bases (KB) constructed through information extraction from text play an important role in query answering and reasoning. In this work, we study a particular reasoning task, the problem of discovering causal relationships between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Dhanya Sridhar , Jay Pujara , Lise Getoor

Event Causality Identification (ECI) requires models to determine whether a given pair of events in a context exhibits a causal relationship. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong performance across various NLP tasks,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Zhifeng Hao , Zhongjie Chen , Junhao Lu , Shengyin Yu , Guimin Hu , Keli Zhang , Ruichu Cai , Boyan Xu

Schema-guided reasoning pipelines ask LLMs to produce explicit intermediate structures -- rubrics, checklists, verification queries -- before committing to a final decision. But do these structures causally determine the output, or merely…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Oleg Somov , Mikhail Chaichuk , Mikhail Seleznyov , Alexander Panchenko , Elena Tutubalina

Ensuring the reliability of Large Language Models (LLMs) in complex reasoning tasks remains a formidable challenge, particularly in scenarios that demand precise mathematical calculations and knowledge-intensive open-domain generation. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ali Razghandi , Seyed Mohammad Hadi Hosseini , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah

Interpretability and transparency are essential for incorporating causal effect models from observational data into policy decision-making. They can provide trust for the model in the absence of ground truth labels to evaluate the accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Liran Szlak , Ehud Karavani , Chris Holmes , Yishai Shimoni

As an essential component of human cognition, cause-effect relations appear frequently in text, and curating cause-effect relations from text helps in building causal networks for predictive tasks. Existing causality extraction techniques…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Jie Yang , Soyeon Caren Han , Josiah Poon

The nature of intelligence in both humans and machines is a longstanding question. While there is no universally accepted definition, the ability to reason causally is often regarded as a pivotal aspect of intelligence (Lake et al., 2017).…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Hanna Dettki

Deep Learning models have shown success in a large variety of tasks by extracting correlation patterns from high-dimensional data but still struggle when generalizing out of their initial distribution. As causal engines aim to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie