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Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

Accurate prediction of dynamical response of structural system depends on the correct modeling of that system. However, modeling becomes increasingly challenging when there are many candidate models available to describe the system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Subhayan De , Tianhao Yu , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

Long-time and large-data existence of weak solutions for initial- and boundary-value problems concerning three-dimensional flows of \emph{incompressible} fluids is nowadays available not only for Navier--Stokes fluids but also for various…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Miroslav Bulíček , Josef Málek , Erika Maringová

We propose a computational framework, Hetero-EUCLID, for segmentation and parameter identification to characterize the full hyperelastic behavior of all constituents of a heterogeneous material. In this work, we leverage the Bayesian-EUCLID…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Kanhaiya Lal Chaurasiya , Saurav Dutta , Siddhant Kumar , Akshay Joshi

In statistical practice, a realistic Bayesian model for a given data set can be defined by a likelihood function that is analytically or computationally intractable, due to large data sample size, high parameter dimensionality, or complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 George Karabatsos , Fabrizio Leisen

Computational simulation is increasingly relied upon for high-consequence engineering decisions, and a foundational element to solid mechanics simulations, such as finite element analysis (FEA), is a credible constitutive or material model.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Denielle Ricciardi , Tom Seidl , Brian Lester , Amanda Jones , Elizabeth Jones

In the recent past, psychological stress has been increasingly observed in humans, and early detection is crucial to prevent health risks. Stress detection using on-device deep learning algorithms has been on the rise owing to advancements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Abhijith Ragav , Gautham Krishna Gudur

Equivariant models leverage prior knowledge on symmetries to improve predictive performance, but misspecified architectural constraints can harm it instead. While work has explored learning or relaxing constraints, selecting among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans , Dharmesh Tailor , Erik J. Bekkers

Motivated by examples from genetic association studies, this paper considers the model selection problem in a general complex linear model system and in a Bayesian framework. We discuss formulating model selection problems and incorporating…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Xiaoquan Wen

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

The entropy models have been recently adopted in many studies to evaluate the distribution of the shear stress in circular channels. However, the uncertainty in their predictions and their reliability remains an open question. We present a…

In this work the authors study the multiphase flow soft-sensing problem based on a previously established framework. There are three functional modules in this framework, namely, a transient well flow model that describes the response of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Rolf J. Lorentzen , Andreas S. Stordal , Geir Nævdal

Shear flow of dense, non-Brownian suspensions is simulated using the discrete element method, taking particle contact and hydrodynamic lubrication into account. The resulting flow regimes are mapped in the parametric space of solid volume…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-01-06 Christopher Ness , Jin Sun

Ensuring that predictions of machine learning (ML) classification models are accompanied by uncertainty estimates is one of the main pillars of trustworthy AI. Current research in uncertainty quantification focuses mainly on epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Samuel Bilson , Miles McCrory , Anna Pustogvar

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Eleni Chatzi

A novel method is proposed to infer Bayesian predictions of computationally expensive models. The method is based on the construction of quadrature rules, which are well-suited for approximating the weighted integrals occurring in Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-09 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Sanderse , W. A. A. M. Bierbooms

A systematic and automated framework for developing closed-loop flow control strategies is proposed, integrating suboptimal control theory [Lee et al., J. Fluid Mech. 358, 245 (1998)] with Bayesian optimization. The approach is demonstrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-08 Yusuke Yugeta , Yosuke Hasegawa