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We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

The scope of this paper is the presentation of a test that enables to detect heteroscedasticity in univariate regression model. The test is simple to compute and very general since no hypothesis is made on the regularity of the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-23 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

Forecasting revenues by aggregating analyst forecasts is a fundamental problem in financial research and practice. A key objective in this context is to improve the accuracy of the forecast by optimizing two performance metrics: the hit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Henry D. van Eijk , Sujit K. Ghosh

Classical regression analysis relates the expectation of a response variable to a linear combination of explanatory variables. In this article, we propose a covariance regression model that parameterizes the covariance matrix of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-01 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu

Implementing state estimation in low and medium voltage power distribution is still challenging given the scale of many networks and the reliance of traditional methods on a large number of measurements. This paper proposes a method to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Roel Dobbe , Werner van Westering , Stephan Liu , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

Variance parameter estimation in linear mixed models is a challenge for many classical nonlinear optimization algorithms due to the positive-definiteness constraint of the random effects covariance matrix. We take a completely novel view on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-20 Lena Sembach , Jan Pablo Burgard , Volker H. Schulz

Brittle optimization has been observed to adversely impact model likelihoods for regression and VAEs when simultaneously fitting neural network mappings from a (random) variable onto the mean and variance of a dependent Gaussian variable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Andrew Stirn , David A. Knowles

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

The tuning parameter selection strategy for penalized estimation is crucial to identify a model that is both interpretable and predictive. However, popular strategies (e.g., minimizing average squared prediction error via cross-validation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Julia Holter , Jonathan Stallrich

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Parametric estimation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has been a subject of intense studies already for several decades. The Heston model for instance is driven by two coupled SDEs and is often used in financial mathematics for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-29 Jarosław Gruszka , Janusz Szwabiński

The graphical representation of the correlation matrix by means of different multivariate statistical methods is reviewed, a comparison of the different procedures is presented with the use of an example data set, and an improved…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-24 Jan Graffelman , Jan de Leeuw

It is well known that in the presence of heteroscedasticity ordinary least squares estimator is not efficient. I propose a generalized automatic least squares estimator (GALS) that makes partial correction of heteroscedasticity based on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Bulat Gafarov

We propose a new method for multivariate response regression and covariance estimation when elements of the response vector are of mixed types, for example some continuous and some discrete. Our method is based on a model which assumes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

Mixed-effect models are widely used for the analysis of correlated data such as longitudinal data and repeated measures. In this article, we study an approach to the nonparametric estimation of mixed-effect models. We consider models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chong Gu , Ping Ma

Modern statistical applications involving large data sets have focused attention on statistical methodologies which are both efficient computationally and able to deal with the screening of large numbers of different candidate models. Here…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chenlei Leng

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

Michaelis--Menten analysis is often conducted by nonlinear least squares under a constant-variance assumption, even though enzyme-kinetic data frequently display concentration-dependent heteroscedasticity and often include repeated or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Mijeong Kim , Minkyoung Cha , Ah Young Jeong
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