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The cluster-weighted model (CWM) is a mixture model with random covariates which allows for flexible clustering and density estimation of a random vector composed by a response variable and by a set of covariates. In this class of models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-06 Salvatore Ingrassia , Antonio Punzo

CSMA (Carrier Sense Multiple Access), which resolves contentions over wireless networks in a fully distributed fashion, has recently gained a lot of attentions since it has been proved that appropriate control of CSMA parameters guarantees…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-01-16 Se-Young Yun , Jinwoo Shin , Yung Yi

Motivated by sequential detection of transient signals in high dimensional data stream, we study the performance of EWMA, MA, CUSUM, and GLRT charts for detecting a transient signal in multivariate data streams in terms of the power of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu , David Siegmund

We study control variate methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in the setting of deterministic sweep sampling using $K\geq 2$ transition kernels. New variance reduction results are provided for MCMC averages based on sweeps over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Stephen Berg , Jun Zhu , Murray K. Clayton

We develop a weighted Bayesian Bootstrap (WBB) for machine learning and statistics. WBB provides uncertainty quantification by sampling from a high dimensional posterior distribution. WBB is computationally fast and scalable using only…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michael Newton , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Exponential random graph models are extremely difficult models to handle from a statistical viewpoint, since their normalising constant, which depends on model parameters, is available only in very trivial cases. We show how inference can…

Applications · Statistics 2010-09-30 Alberto Caimo , Nial Friel

Based on the stochastic maximum principle for the partially coupled forward-backward stochastic control system (FBSCS for short), a modified method of successive approximations (MSA for short) is established for stochastic recursive optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Shaolin Ji , Rundong Xu

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

The rapid evolution of molecular dynamics (MD) methods, including machine-learned dynamics, has outpaced the development of standardized tools for method validation. Objective comparison between simulation approaches is often hindered by…

Control charts are important tools to monitor quality of products. One of useful applications is to monitor the proportion of non-conforming products. However, in practical applications, measurement error is ubiquitous and may occur due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Li-Pang Chen , Su-Fen Yang

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

We address the problem of online change detection in multivariate datastreams, and we introduce QuantTree Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (QT-EWMA), a nonparametric change-detection algorithm that can control the expected time before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Luca Frittoli , Diego Carrera , Giacomo Boracchi

Malliavin weight sampling (MWS) is a stochastic calculus technique for computing the derivatives of averaged system properties with respect to parameters in stochastic simulations, without perturbing the system's dynamics. It applies to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-31 Patrick B. Warren , Rosalind J. Allen

We propose a double/debiased machine learning framework to estimate average derivative effects in nonparametric panel models with two-way fixed effects. It extends instrumental variable methods to panel settings, handles continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Peikai Wu , Kuan Sun , Zhiguo Xiao

This paper studies a wireless networked control system with multiple base stations (BSs) cooperatively coordinating the wireless control of a number of subsystems each consisting of a plant, a sensor, and an actuator. In this system, each…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zhilin Liu , Yiyang Li , Huijun Xing , Ye Zhang , Jie Xu , Shuguang Cui

This paper investigates two environmental applications related to climate change, where observations consist of bounded counts. The binomial and beta-binomial (BB) models are commonly used for bounded count data, with the BB model offering…

Inspired by biological swimming and flying with distributed sensing, we propose a data-driven approach for load estimation that relies on complex networks. We exploit sparse, real-time pressure inputs, combined with pre-trained transition…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-16 Giovanni Iacobello , Frieder Kaiser , David E. Rival

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

The classical Method of Successive Approximations (MSA) is an iterative method for solving stochastic control problems and is derived from Pontryagin's optimality principle. It is known that the MSA may fail to converge. Using careful…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Bekzhan Kerimkulov , David Šiška , Łukasz Szpruch