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We propose a simple statistical-physics-inspired model for the effect of intrinsic fluctuations on supply and demand in markets. The model consists of agents that trade in two types of goods of which the total number is separately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 J. R. Mulder , René van Roij , R. A. Duine

We study a large economy in which firms cannot compute exact solutions to the non-linear equations that characterize the equilibrium price at which they can sell future output. Instead, firms use polynomial expansions to approximate prices.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Wolfgang Kuhle

Traders on financial markets generate non-Markovian effects in various ways, particularly through their competition with one another which can be interpreted as a game between different (types of) traders. To quantify the market mechanisms,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Cedric Schuhmann , Benjamin Köhler , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

Feedback optimization algorithms compute inputs to a system using real-time output measurements, which helps mitigate the effects of disturbances. However, existing work often models both system dynamics and computations in either discrete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Oscar Jed Chuy , Matthew Hale , Ricardo Sanfelice

We propose a continuous-time model of trading with heterogeneous beliefs. Risk-neutral agents face quadratic costs-of-carry on positions and thus their marginal valuations decrease with the size of their position, as it would be the case…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Marcel Nutz , José A. Scheinkman

Financial contagion has been widely recognized as a fundamental risk to the financial system. Particularly potent is price-mediated contagion, wherein forced liquidations by firms depress asset prices and propagate financial stress,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Zhiyu Cao , Zihan Chen , Prerna Mishra , Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

We propose that feedback-delayed manual tracking performance is limited by fundamental constraints imposed by the physics of negative group delay. To test this hypothesis, the results of an experiment in which subjects demonstrate both…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-06-27 Henning U. Voss , Nigel Stepp

We study an online market-making problem in which a learner sequentially posts bid and ask prices for a single asset while interacting with traders holding private valuations. Unlike existing online learning formulations that assume fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

We develop a cross-border market model for two countries based on a continuous trading mechanism, in which the transmission capacities that enable transactions between market participants from different countries are limited. Our market…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Cassandra Milbradt , Dörte Kreher

We characterise the solutions to a continuous-time optimal liquidity provision problem in a market populated by informed and uninformed traders. In our model, the asset price exhibits fads -- these are short-term deviations from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Emilio Barucci , Adrien Mathieu , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We study the collective behavior of interacting agents in a simple model of market economics originally introduced by N{\o}rrelykke and Bak. A general theoretical framework for interacting traders on an arbitrary network is presented, with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Avinash Chand Yadav , Kaustubh Manchanda , Ramakrishna Ramaswamy

The modelling of financial markets presents a problem which is both theoretically challenging and practically important. The theoretical aspects concern the issue of market efficiency which may even have political implications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Kirill N. Ilinski , Alexander S. Stepanenko

Feedback optimization has emerged as a promising approach for regulating dynamical systems to optimal steady states that are implicitly defined by underlying optimization problems. Despite their effectiveness, existing methods face two key…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Gianluca Bianchin , Bryan Van Scoy

In this paper I investigate a Bayesian inverse problem in the specific setting of a price setting monopolist facing a randomly growing demand in multiple possibly interconnected markets. Investigating the Value of Information of a signal to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-11-02 Stefan Behringer

This paper presents a continuous-time model of intraday trading, pricing, and liquidity with dynamic TWAP and VWAP benchmarks. The model is solved in closed-form for the competitive equilibrium and also for non-price-taking equilibria. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-31 Jin Hyuk Choi , Kasper Larsen , Duane J. Seppi

We propose a frustrated and disordered many-body model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive traders can trade a stock subject to the economic law of supply and demand. We show that the typical scaling properties and the correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabio Franci , Lorenzo Matassini

This paper proposes a unifying design framework for dynamic feedback controllers that track solution trajectories of time-varying generalized equations, such as local minimizers of nonlinear programs or competitive equilibria (e.g., Nash)…

In this paper we introduce a simple model for a financial market characterized by a single stock or good and an interplay between two different traders populations, chartists and fundamentalists, which determine the price dynamic of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-29 D. Maldarella , L. Pareschi