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Capturing the structure of a population and characterising contacts within the population are key to reliable projections of infectious disease. Two main elements of population structure -- contact heterogeneity and age -- have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L. Davis , Matt J. Keeling

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-22 Petter Holme

Researchers, policy makers, and engineers need to make sense of data from spreading processes as diverse as rumor spreading in social networks, viral infections, and water contamination. Classical questions include predicting infection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Ben Bals , Michelle Döring , Nicolas Klodt , George Skretas

Graph-based machine learning methods are useful tools in the identification and prediction of variation in genetic data. In particular, the comprehension of phenotypic effects at the cellular level is an accelerating research area in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-06 Nandini Gadhia , Michalis Smyrnakis , Po-Yu Liu , Damer Blake , Melanie Hay , Anh Nguyen , Dominic Richards , Dong Xia , Ritesh Krishna

The history of infections and epidemics holds famous examples where understanding, containing and ultimately treating an outbreak began with understanding its mode of spread. Influenza, HIV and most computer viruses, spread person to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-26 Chris Milling , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor , Sanjay Shakkottai

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion and links heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-11-13 Vincenzo Fioriti , Marta Chinnici

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Understanding the dynamics of infectious disease spread in a heterogeneous population is an important factor in designing control strategies. Here, we develop a novel tensor-driven multi-compartment version of the classic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Elad Yom-Tov

Zoonotic disease transmission between animals and humans is a growing risk and the agricultural context acts as a likely point of transition, with individual heterogeneity acting as an important contributor. Thus, understanding the dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-10 Teddy Lazebnik , Orr Spiegel

Network epidemiology's most important assumption is that the contact structure over which infectious diseases propagate can be represented as a static network. However, contacts are highly dynamic, changing at many time scales. In this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Petter Holme

One Health issues, such as the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza~(HPAI), present significant challenges at the human-animal-environmental interface. Recent H5N1 outbreaks underscore the need for comprehensive modeling efforts that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Abhijin Adiga , Ayush Chopra , Mandy L. Wilson , S. S. Ravi , Dawen Xie , Samarth Swarup , Bryan Lewis , Andrew Warren , John Barnes , Ramesh Raskar , Madhav V. Marathe

Using the continuous-time susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks, we investigate the problem of inferring the class of the underlying network when epidemic data is only available at population-level (i.e. the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-05 F. Di Lauro , J. -C. Croix , M. Dashti , L. Berthouze , I. Z. Kiss

Understanding how epidemics spread in a system is a crucial step to prevent and control outbreaks, with broad implications on the system's functioning, health, and associated costs. This can be achieved by identifying the elements at higher…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-16 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Armando Giovannini , Diana Palma , Lara Savini , Vittoria Colizza

The amount and size of spatiotemporal data sets from different domains have been rapidly increasing in the last years, which demands the development of robust and fast methods to analyze and extract information from them. In this paper, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Didier A. Vega-Oliveros , Moshe Cotacallapa , Manoel F. Cardoso , Marcos G. Quiles , Liang Zhao , Elbert E. N. Macau

H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) has been recently circulating in previously unseen patterns. As the underlying causes are uncertain, we need a better understanding of the drivers of virus circulation, as they underpin the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-18 Anna Gamża , Sam Lycett , Aeron Sanchez , Rowland Kao

This study presents a framework for predicting unsteady transonic wing pressure distributions, integrating an autoencoder architecture with graph convolutional networks and graph-based temporal layers to model time dependencies. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Gabriele Immordino , Andrea Vaiuso , Andrea Da Ronch , Marcello Righi

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda