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Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Groundwater supports ecosystems, agriculture, and drinking water supplies worldwide, yet effective monitoring remains challenging due to sparse data, computational constraints, and delayed outputs from traditional approaches. We develop a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-04 Chuan Li , Ruoxuan Yang

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Floods are highly uncertain events, occurring in different regions, with varying prerequisites and intensities. A highly reliable flood disaster risk map can help reduce the impact of floods for flood management, disaster decreasing, and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-06 Hongping Zhang , Zhenfeng Shao , Jinqi Zhao , Xiao Huang , Jie Yang , Bin Hu , Wenfu Wu

The evaluation of hydrological models is essential for both model selection and reliability assessment. However, simply comparing predictions to observations is insufficient for understanding the global landscape of model behavior. This is…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-06 Yang Yang , Joseph Janssen , Hoshin Gupta , Ting Fong May Chui

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

While machine learning (ML) post-processing of convection-allowing model (CAM) output for severe weather hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and/or tornadoes) has shown promise for very short lead times (0-3 hours), its application to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Montgomery Flora , Samuel Varga , Corey Potvin , Noah Lang

Recent advances in time series research facilitate the development of foundation models. While many state-of-the-art time series foundation models have been introduced, few studies examine their effectiveness in specific downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Junyang He , Judy Fox , Alireza Jafari , Ying-Jung Chen , Geoffrey Fox

Traffic flow prediction is a critical component of intelligent transportation systems, yet accurately forecasting traffic remains challenging due to the interaction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Standard deep…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Adway Das , Agnimitra Sengupta , S. Ilgin Guler

We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

Long-term time-series forecasting is critical for environmental monitoring, yet water quality prediction remains challenging due to complex periodicity, nonstationarity, and abrupt fluctuations induced by ecological factors. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Ziqi Wang , Hailiang Zhao , Cheng Bao , Wenzhuo Qian , Yuhao Yang , Xueqiang Sun , Shuiguang Deng

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

In this technical report we compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth rasters at high spatial resolution. Efficient, accurate, and fast methods for water depth prediction are nowadays important as urban floods are…

Water supplies are crucial for the development of living beings. However, change in the hydrological process i.e. climate and land usage are the key issues. Sustaining water level and accurate estimating for dynamic conditions is a critical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Sadaqat ur Rehman , Zhongliang Yang , Muhammad Shahid , Nan Wei , Yongfeng Huang , Muhammad Waqas , Shanshan Tu , Obaid ur Rehman

Forecasting global precipitation patterns and, in particular, extreme precipitation events is of critical importance to preparing for and adapting to climate change. Making accurate high-resolution precipitation forecasts using traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 James Duncan , Shashank Subramanian , Peter Harrington

This study presents a machine learning framework for forecasting short-term faults in industrial centrifugal pumps using real-time sensor data. The approach aims to predict {EarlyWarning} conditions 5, 15, and 30 minutes in advance based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Khaled M. A. Alghtus , Aiyad Gannan , Khalid M. Alhajri , Ali L. A. Al Jubouri , Hassan A. I. Al-Janahi

Critical heat flux is a key quantity in boiling system modeling due to its impact on heat transfer and component temperature and performance. This study investigates the development and validation of an uncertainty-aware hybrid modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Aidan Furlong , Xingang Zhao , Robert Salko , Xu Wu

Flash floods are the most destructive natural hazard in Himachal Pradesh (HP), India, causing over 400 fatalities and $1.2 billion in losses in the 2023 monsoon season alone. Existing risk maps treat every pixel independently, ignoring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Paras Sharma , Swastika Sharma
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