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We establish the one-to one bilateral interrelations between an asymptotic behavior for the tail of distributions for random variables and its great moments evaluation. Our results generalize the famous Richter's ones.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We investigate a one-dimensional model of active motion, which takes into account the effects of persistent self-propulsion through a memory function in a dissipative-like term of the generalized Langevin equation for particle swimming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-25 Francisco J. Sevilla , Rosalío F. Rodríguez , Juan Ruben Gomez-Solano

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

Ba\~nuelos and Bogdan (2004) and Bogdan, Palmowski and Wang (2016) analyse the asymptotic tail distribution of the first time a stable (L\'evy) process in dimension $d\geq 2$ exists a cone. We use these results to develop the notion of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Victor Rivero , Weerapat Satitkanitkul

For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bohan Chen , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

The generalized Langevin equation is a model for the motion of coarse-grained particles where dissipative forces are represented by a memory term. The numerical realization of such a model requires the implementation of a stochastic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-05-26 Niklas Bockius , Jeanine Shea , Gerhard Jung , Friederike Schmid , Martin Hanke

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

It was recently proven that the correlation function of the stationary version of a reflected L\'evy process is nonnegative, nonincreasing and convex. In another branch of the literature it was established that the mean value of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Offer Kella , Michel Mandjes

We consider additive functionals of stationary Markov processes and show that under Kipnis-Varadhan type conditions they converge in rough path topology to a Stratonovich Brownian motion, with a correction to the Levy area that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Tal Orenshtein , Nicolas Perkowski

We investigate the joint distribution and the multivariate survival functions for the maxima of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in consecutive time-intervals. A PDE method, alongside an eigenfunction expansion, is adopted with which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Yupeng Jiang , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

In this article we show how ideas, methods and results from optimal transportation can be used to study various aspects of the stationary measuresof Iterated Function Systems equipped with a probability distribution. We recover a classical…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Benoît Kloeckner

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We study the tail asymptotics of two functionals (the maximum and the sum of the marks) of a generic cluster in two sub-models of the marked Poisson cluster process, namely the renewal Poisson cluster process and the Hawkes process. Under…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Fabien Baeriswyl , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Olivier Wintenberger

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We consider solutions to so-called stochastic fixed point equation $R \stackrel{d}{=} \Psi(R)$, where $\Psi $ is a random Lipschitz function and $R$ is a random variable independent of $\Psi$. Under the assumption that $\Psi$ can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Ewa Damek , Piotr Dyszewski

We study a class of stationary Markov processes with marginal distributions identifiable by moments such that every conditional moment of degree say $m$ is a polynomial of degree at most $m\;\text{.}\;$ We show that then under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Paweł J. Szabłowski