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We study the aggregation of AR processes and generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes. Mixture of spectral densities with random poles are the main tool. In this context, we apply our results for the aggregation of doubly stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-13 Didier Dacunha-Castelle , Lisandro J. Fermín

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Gabjin Oh

In this work, we consider, in a general setting, multiparameter multidimensional Markov processes that are time-changed by an independent additive subordinator. By extending Phillips theorem, we show that the resulting process is a Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Alessandro Mutti , Patrizia Semeraro

We combine earlier investigations of linear systems with L\'{e}vy fluctuations [Physica {\bf 113A}, 203, (1982)] with recent discussions of L\'{e}vy flights in external force fields [Phys.Rev. {\bf E 59},2736, (1999)]. We give a complete…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Piotr Garbaczewski , Robert Olkiewicz

We study the non-Markovian random continuous processes described by the Mori-Zwanzig equation. As a starting point, we use the Markovian Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and introduce an integral memory term depending on the past of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 S. S. Melnyk , V. A. Yampol'skii , O. V. Usatenko

For a class of one-dimensional autoregressive processes $(X_n)$ we consider the tail behaviour of the stopping time $T_0=\min \lbrace n\geq 1: X_n\leq 0 \rbrace$. We discuss existing general analytical approaches to this and related…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Günter Hinrichs , Martin Kolb , Vitali Wachtel

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam

We construct a Banach rearrangement invariant norm on the measurable space for which the finiteness of this norm for measurable function (random variable) is equivalent to suitable tail (heavy tail and light tail) behavior. We investigate…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-10-04 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Let $\{X_t, t \geq 1\}$ be a sequence of identically distributed and pairwise asymptotically independent random variables with regularly varying tails and $\{ \Theta_t, t\geq1 \}$ be a sequence of positive random variables independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Motivated by the recent work of Benjamini, Haggstrom, Peres, and Steif (2003) on dynamical random walks, we: Prove that, after a suitable normalization, the dynamical Gaussian walk converges weakly to the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. Khoshnevisan , D. A. Levin , P. J. Mendez-Hernandez

The goal of this paper is to investigate the tools of extreme value theory originally introduced for discrete time stationary stochastic processes (time series), namely the tail process and the tail measure, in the framework of continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Philippe Soulier

To draw inference on serial extremal dependence within heavy-tailed Markov chains, Drees, Segers and Warcho{\l} [Extremes (2015) 18, 369--402] proposed nonparametric estimators of the spectral tail process. The methodology can be extended…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 R. A. Davis , H. Drees , J. Segers , M. Warchoł

Self-normalized processes arise naturally in many learning-related tasks. While self-normalized concentration has been extensively studied for scalar-valued processes, there are few results for multidimensional processes outside of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Aaditya Ramdas

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Conditions for geometric ergodicity of multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) processes, with the so-called BEKK (Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner) parametrization, are considered. We show for a class of BEKK-ARCH…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Rasmus Pedersen , Olivier Wintenberger

In this paper, we study Markov-dependent reflected autoregressive processes, and other related models the analysis of which results in a vector-valued fixed-point functional equation of a certain type. In queueing terms, such processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

Employing the optimal fluctuation method (OFM), we study the large deviation function of long-time averages $(1/T)\int_{-T/2}^{T/2} x^n(t) dt$, $n=1,2, \dots$, of centered stationary Gaussian processes. These processes are correlated and,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-13 Baruch Meerson

The phenomenon of intermittency has been widely discussed in physics literature. This paper provides a model of intermittency based on L\'evy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) type processes. Discrete superpositions of these processes can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Alla Sikorskii , Irena Tešnjak

We consider autoregressive sequences $X_n=aX_{n-1}+\xi_n$ and $M_n=\max\{aM_{n-1},\xi_n\}$ with a constant $a\in(0,1)$ and with positive, independent and identically distributed innovations $\{\xi_k\}$. It is known that if $\mathbf…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Denis Denisov , Gunter Hinrich , Martin Kolb , Vitali Wachtel

The purpose of this article is a set-indexed extension of the well-known Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The first part is devoted to a stationary definition of the random field and ends up with the proof of a complete characterization by its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Paul Balança , Erick Herbin
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