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Many causal and policy effects of interest are defined by linear functionals of high-dimensional or non-parametric regression functions. $\sqrt{n}$-consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of the object of interest requires debiasing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Victor Quintas-Martinez , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Efficient estimation of causal and structural parameters can be automated using the Riesz representation theorem and debiased machine learning (DML). We present genriesz, an open-source Python package that implements automatic DML and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Masahiro Kato

Estimating the Riesz representer is central to debiased machine learning for causal and structural parameter estimation. We propose generalized Riesz regression, a unified framework for estimating the Riesz representer by fitting a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-11 Masahiro Kato

This paper considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Michela Bia , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

We extend the idea of automated debiased machine learning to the dynamic treatment regime and more generally to nested functionals. We show that the multiply robust formula for the dynamic treatment regime with discrete treatments can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney Newey , Rahul Singh , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The Riesz representer is a central object in semiparametric statistics and debiased/doubly-robust estimation. Two literatures in econometrics have highlighted the role for directly estimating Riesz representers: the automatic debiased…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 David Bruns-Smith

A variety of interesting parameters may depend on high dimensional regressions. Machine learning can be used to estimate such parameters. However estimators based on machine learners can be severely biased by regularization and/or model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Victor Quintas-Martinez , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We propose ScoreMatchingRiesz, a family of Riesz representer estimators based on score matching. The Riesz representer is a key nuisance component in debiased machine learning, enabling $\sqrt{n}$-consistent and asymptotically efficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-02 Masahiro Kato

We develop a direct debiased machine learning framework comprising Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression. Our framework unifies Riesz regression for automatic debiased machine learning, covariate balancing, targeted…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-31 Masahiro Kato

This paper proposes the automatic Doubly Robust Random Forest (DRRF) algorithm for estimating the conditional expectation of a moment functional in the presence of high-dimensional nuisance functions. DRRF extends the automatic debiasing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Zhaomeng Chen , Junting Duan , Victor Chernozhukov , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Causal and nonparametric estimands in economics and biostatistics can often be viewed as the mean of a linear functional applied to an unknown outcome regression function. Naively learning the regression function and taking a sample mean of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Christian L. Hines , Oliver J. Hines

We develop a unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning (autoDML) for inference on a broad class of statistical parameters. The framework applies to any smooth functional of a nonparametric M-estimand, defined as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Lars van der Laan , Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Alex Luedtke

Answering causal questions often involves estimating linear functionals of conditional expectations, such as the average treatment effect or the effect of a longitudinal modified treatment policy. By the Riesz representation theorem, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Kaitlyn J. Lee , Alejandro Schuler

We provide adaptive inference methods, based on $\ell_1$ regularization, for regular (semi-parametric) and non-regular (nonparametric) linear functionals of the conditional expectation function. Examples of regular functionals include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney Newey , Rahul Singh

This note introduces a unified theory for causal inference that integrates Riesz regression, covariate balancing, density-ratio estimation (DRE), targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE), and the matching estimator in average treatment…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Masahiro Kato

Feature selection is an important but challenging task in causal inference for obtaining unbiased estimates of causal quantities. Properly selected features in causal inference not only significantly reduce the time required to implement a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Tianyu Yang , Md. Noor-E-Alam

As research in causal inference has sought to address more complex scientific questions, the number of specialized estimands in the field has proliferated. Recognition that many of these estimands share a common linear form has generated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Salvador V. Balkus , Christian Testa , Nima S. Hejazi

This paper proposes a debiased estimator for causal effects in high-dimensional generalized linear models with binary outcomes and general link functions. The estimator augments a regularized regression plug-in with weights computed from a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius
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