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Longitudinal molecular data of rapidly evolving viruses and pathogens provide information about disease spread and complement traditional surveillance approaches based on case count data. The coalescent is used to model the genealogy that…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-07 Lorenzo Cappello , Julia A. Palacios

When an infectious disease outbreak is of a relatively small size, describing the ancestry of a sample of infected individuals is difficult because most ancestral models assume large population sizes. Given a set of infected individuals, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-31 Xavier Didelot , David Helekal , Ian Roberts

Understanding patterns of selectively neutral genetic variation is essential in order to model deviations from neutrality, caused for example by different forms of selection. Best understood is neutral genetic variation at a single locus,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 E. Schaper , A. Eriksson , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig

The search for high-affinity aptamers for targets such as proteins, small molecules, or cancer cells remains a formidable endeavor. Systematic Evolution of Ligands by EXponential Enrichment (SELEX) offers an iterative process to discover…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-12-30 Fabian Spill , Zohar B. Weinstein , Atena Irani Shemirani , Nga Ho , Darash Desai , Muhammad H. Zaman

We are interested in the long-time behavior of a diploid population with sexual reproduction, characterized by its genotype composition at one bi-allelic locus. The population is modeled by a 3-dimensional birth-and-death process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Camille Coron

We study a class of processes that are akin to the Wright-Fisher model, with transition probabilities weighted in terms of the frequency-dependent fitness of the population types. By considering an approximate weak formulation of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-28 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

The measure-valued Fleming-Viot process is a diffusion which models the evolution of allele frequencies in a multi-type population. In the neutral setting the Kingman coalescent is known to generate the genealogies of the "individuals" in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Andreas Greven , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anita Winter

We derive a central limit theorem for a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot model with fluctuating population size. At each reproduction, a proportion of the population dies and is replaced by a not necessarily equal mass of new individuals. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Raphaël Forien , Bastian Wiederhold

This article partakes of the PEGASE project the goal of which is a better understanding of the mechanisms explaining the behaviour of species living in a network of forest patches linked by ecological corridors (hedges for instance).…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Gauthier Delvoye , Olivier Goubet , Frédéric Paccaut

The purpose of this article is to study some asymptotic properties of the \Lambda-Wright-Fisher process with selection. This process represents the frequency of a disadvantaged allele. The resampling mechanism is governed by a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Clement Foucart

Until recently, the use of Bayesian inference in population genetics was limited to a few cases because for many realistic population genetic models the likelihood function cannot be calculated analytically . The situation changed with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-16 Christoph Leuenberger Daniel Wegmann Laurent Excoffier

We consider a system of interacting diffusions labeled by a geographic space that is given by the hierarchical group $\Omega_N$ of order $N\in\mathbb{N}$. Individuals live in colonies and are subject to resampling and migration as long as…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander , Margriet Oomen

Kingman's House-of-Cards model is a simple and celebrated model to describe the evolution of population under the competition of selection and mutation. Letting mutation probabilities vary on generations makes the model more realistic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Linglong Yuan

We consider an extension of the noisy $N$-Branching Random Walk that models the evolution of a population subject to natural selection. We show the existence of a critical value for the noise which separates the limiting genealogical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-17 Emmanuel Schertzer , Alejandro H. Wences

We investigate the $\Lambda$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process, a model describing allele frequency dynamics in populations exhibiting both skewed offspring distributions and dormancy. By performing a change of measure, we condition this…

We study the stability of non-conservative deterministic cross diffusion models and prove that they are approximated by stochastic population models when the populations become locally large. In this model, the individuals of two species…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Vincent Bansaye , Alexandre Bertolino , Ayman Moussa

We study a parabolic Lotka-Volterra type equation that describes the evolution of a population structured by a phenotypic trait, under the effects of mutations and competition for resources modelled by a nonlocal feedback. The limit of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Manon Costa , Christèle Etchegaray , Sepideh Mirrahimi

The growth rate of large-scale structure provides a powerful consistency test of the standard cosmological model and a probe of possible deviations from general relativity. We use a Fisher analysis to forecast constraints on the growth rate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-02 Jan-Albert Viljoen , José Fonseca , Roy Maartens

The distribution of genetic polymorphisms in a population contains information about the mutation rate and the strength of natural selection at a locus. Here, we show that the Poisson Random Field (PRF) method of population-genetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-07-18 Michael M Desai , Joshua B. Plotkin

Many biological studies involve inferring the evolutionary history of a sample of individuals from a large population and interpreting the reconstructed tree. Such an ascertained tree typically represents only a small part of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Michael Celentano , William S. DeWitt , Sebastian Prillo , Yun S. Song