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We develop a rotation-invariant neural network that provides the global minimum-variance portfolio by jointly learning how to lag-transform historical returns and marginal volatilities and how to regularise the eigenvalues of large equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Christian Bongiorno , Efstratios Manolakis , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

We give a new algorithm for the estimation of the cross-covariance matrix $\mathbb{E} XY'$ of two large dimensional signals $X\in\mathbb{R}^n$, $Y\in \mathbb{R}^p$ in the context where the number $T$ of observations of the pair $(X,Y)$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Florent Benaych-Georges , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

Covariance matrix estimation and principal component analysis (PCA) are two cornerstones of multivariate analysis. Classic textbook solutions perform poorly when the dimension of the data is of a magnitude similar to the sample size, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-25 Olivier Ledoit , Michael Wolf

We propose a data-driven way to reduce the noise of covariance matrices of nonstationary systems. In the case of stationary systems, asymptotic approaches were proved to converge to the optimal solutions. Such methods produce eigenvalues…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet , Grégoire Loeper

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

Some novel strategies have recently been proposed for single hidden layer neural network training that set randomly the weights from input to hidden layer, while weights from hidden to output layer are analytically determined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-26 R. Cancelliere , R. Deluca , M. Gai , P. Gallinari , L. Rubini

We seek to improve estimates of the power spectrum covariance matrix from a limited number of simulations by employing a novel statistical technique known as shrinkage estimation. The shrinkage technique optimally combines an empirical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Adrian C. Pope , István Szapudi

The global minimum-variance portfolio is a typical choice for investors because of its simplicity and broad applicability. Although it requires only one input, namely the covariance matrix of asset returns, estimating the optimal solution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

One of the goals in scaling sequential machine learning methods pertains to dealing with high-dimensional data spaces. A key related challenge is that many methods heavily depend on obtaining the inverse covariance matrix of the data. It is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-28 Tomer Lancewicki

CoVariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform convolutions on the graph determined by the covariance matrix of the data, which enables expressive and stable covariance-based learning. However, covariance matrices are typically dense, fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Andrea Cavallo , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques , Elvin Isufi

This paper studies the question of filtering and maximizing terminal wealth from expected utility in a partially information stochastic volatility models. The special features is that the only information available to the investor is the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Dalia Ibrahim , Frédéric Abergel

In portfolio risk minimization, the inverse covariance matrix of returns is often unknown and has to be estimated in practice. This inverse covariance matrix also prescribes the hedge trades in which a stock is hedged by all the other…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-15 Lim Hao Shen Keith

Solving inverse problems, such as parameter estimation and optimal control, is a vital part of science. Many experiments repeatedly collect data and rely on machine learning algorithms to quickly infer solutions to the associated inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Philipp Holl , Vladlen Koltun , Nils Thuerey

We study general singular value shrinkage estimators in high-dimensional regression and classification, when the number of features and the sample size both grow proportionally to infinity. We allow models with general covariance matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Panagiotis Lolas

We establish large sample approximations for an arbitray number of bilinear forms of the sample variance-covariance matrix of a high-dimensional vector time series using $ \ell_1$-bounded and small $\ell_2$-bounded weighting vectors.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

The comovement phenomenon in financial markets creates decision scenarios with positively correlated asset returns. This paper addresses covariance matrix estimation under such conditions, motivated by observations of significant positive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Weilong Liu , Yanchu Liu

Singular value decomposition is the key tool in the analysis and understanding of linear regularization methods. In the last decade nonlinear variational approaches such as $\ell^1$ or total variation regularizations became quite prominent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Martin Benning , Martin Burger

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Daniel Bartz

We present a general variational framework for the training of freeform nonlinearities in layered computational architectures subject to some slope constraints. The regularization that we add to the traditional training loss penalizes the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-31 Michael Unser , Alexis Goujon , Stanislas Ducotterd

We propose two new Bayesian smoothing methods for general state-space models with unknown parameters. The first approach is based on the particle learning and smoothing algorithm, but with an adjustment in the backward resampling weights.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-20 Biao Yang , Jonathan R. Stroud , Gabriel Huerta
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