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Many flexible families of positive random variables exhibit non-closed forms of the density and distribution functions and this feature is considered unappealing for modelling purposes. However, such families are often characterized by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Lucio Barabesi , Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

Ensuring the reliability and verifiability of large language model (LLM)-enabled systems remains a significant challenge in software engineering. We propose a probabilistic framework for systematically analyzing and improving these systems…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Juan Manuel Baldonado , Flavia Bonomo-Braberman , Víctor Adrián Braberman

This paper studies minimax rates of convergence for nonparametric location-scale models, which include mean, quantile and expectile regression settings. Under Hellinger differentiability on the error distribution and other mild conditions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Bingxin Zhao , Yuhong Yang

The umbral approach provides methods for comprehending and redefining special functions. This approach is employed efficiently in order to uncover intricacies and introduce new families of special functions. In this article, the umbral…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Subuhi Khan , Ujair Ahmad , Mehnaz Haneef

Modeling stock returns is not a new task for mathematicians, investors, and portfolio managers, but it remains a difficult objective due to the ebb and flow of stock markets. One common solution is to approximate the distribution of stock…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 David Toth , Bruce Jones

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri

Estimating a large alphabet probability distribution from a limited number of samples is a fundamental problem in machine learning and statistics. A variety of estimation schemes have been proposed over the years, mostly inspired by the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-20 Amichai Painsky , Meir Feder

The Laplace approximation is an old, but frequently used method to approximate integrals for Bayesian calculations. In this paper we develop an extension of the Laplace approximation, by applying it iteratively to the residual, i.e., the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Björn Bornkamp

We study the analytical properties of the Laplace transform of the lognormal distribution. Two integral expressions for the analytic continuation of the Laplace transform of the lognormal distribution are provided, one of which takes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Justin Miles

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in metrology applications. However, for ML models to be credible in a metrology context they should be accompanied by principled uncertainty quantification. This paper addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Andrew Thompson

This paper proposes a two-stage estimation approach for a spatial misalignment scenario that is motivated by the epidemiological problem of linking pollutant exposures and health outcomes. We use the integrated nested Laplace approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Stephen Jun Villejo , Janine B Illian , Ben Swallow

This article presents a new class of generalized transmuted lifetime distributions which includes a large number of lifetime distributions as sub-family. Several important mathematical quantities such as density function, distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Alok Kumar Pandey , Alam Ali , Ashok Kumar Pathak

The Laplace transform is a useful and powerful analytic tool with applications to several areas of applied mathematics, including differential equations, probability and statistics. Similarly to the inversion of the Fourier transform,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Nickos Papadatos

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as elementary example of a probability model. In the past, enumeration and order statistic-based methods have been suggested for the maximum likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

In this paper, we consider a linear regression model with AR(p) error terms with the assumption that the error terms have a t distribution as a heavy tailed alternative to the normal distribution. We obtain the estimators for the model…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Yetkin Tuaç , Yeşim Güney Birdal Şenoğlu , Olcay Arslan

High-dimensional and sparse (HiDS) matrices are omnipresent in a variety of big data-related applications. Latent factor analysis (LFA) is a typical representation learning method that extracts useful yet latent knowledge from HiDS matrices…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Di Wu , Peng Zhang , Yi He , Xin Luo

With the multiallelic parent-independent mutation-drift model, the equilibrium proportions of alleles are known to be Dirichlet distributed. A special case is the biallelic model, in which the proportions are beta distributed. A sample…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-07 Claus Vogl , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

We study modeling and inference with the Elliptical Gamma Distribution (EGD). We consider maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for EGD scatter matrices, a task for which we develop new fixed-point algorithms. Our algorithms are efficient and…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-04 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra , Lucas Theis , Matthias Bethge