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Related papers: Bayesian Optimization of Noisy Log-Likelihoods Eva…

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We consider Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained. This occurs for example when complex simulator-based statistical models are fitted to data, and synthetic likelihood (SL) method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful technology for optimizing noisy expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, with a broad range of real-world applications in science, engineering, economics, manufacturing, and beyond. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Joel A. Paulson , Calvin Tsay

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

We study the problem of selecting $k$ experiments from a larger candidate pool, where the goal is to maximize mutual information (MI) between the selected subset and the underlying parameters. Finding the exact solution is to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Fengyi Li , Ayoub Belhadji , Youssef Marzouk

Optical measurements often exhibit mixed Poisson-Gaussian noise statistics, which hampers image quality, particularly under low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions. Computational imaging falls short in such situations when solely…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-16 Jacob Seifert , Yifeng Shao , Rens van Dam , Dorian Bouchet , Tristan van Leeuwen , Allard P. Mosk

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time data. In this paper, we give a rather elementary explanation of this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Sebastian Reich

Particle filters for data assimilation in nonlinear problems use "particles" (replicas of the underlying system) to generate a sequence of probability density functions (pdfs) through a Bayesian process. This can be expensive because a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-15 Alexandre J. Chorin , Xuemin Tu

State filtering is a key problem in many signal processing applications. From a series of noisy measurement, one would like to estimate the state of some dynamic system. Existing techniques usually adopt a Gaussian noise assumption which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-16 Bin Liu

The problem is target motion analysis (TMA), where the objective is to estimate the state of a moving target from noise corrupted bearings-only measurements. The focus is on recursive TMA, traditionally solved using the Bayesian filters…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Branko Ristic , Jeremie Houssineau , Sanjeev Arulampalam

Bayesian optimization is a powerful global optimization technique for expensive black-box functions. One of its shortcomings is that it requires auxiliary optimization of an acquisition function at each iteration. This auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-28 Ziyu Wang , Babak Shakibi , Lin Jin , Nando de Freitas

Lagrangian Particle Tracking (LPT) enables practitioners to study various concepts in turbulence by measuring particle positions in flows of interest. This data is subject to measurement errors, and filtering techniques are applied to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Kasey M. Laurent , Reece V. Kearney

To minimize the average of a set of log-convex functions, the stochastic Newton method iteratively updates its estimate using subsampled versions of the full objective's gradient and Hessian. We contextualize this optimization problem as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Michael C. Burkhart

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

Non-Gaussian Bayesian filtering is a core problem in stochastic filtering. The difficulty of the problem lies in parameterizing the state estimates. However the existing methods are not able to treat it well. We propose to use power moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Guangyu Wu , Anders Lindquist

One way to reduce the time of conducting optimization studies is to evaluate designs in parallel rather than just one-at-a-time. For expensive-to-evaluate black-boxes, batch versions of Bayesian optimization have been proposed. They work by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik

The state-space model and the Kalman filter provide us with unified and computationaly efficient procedure for computing the log-likelihood of the diverse type of time series models. This paper presents an algorithm for computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Genshiro Kitagawa

We consider Bayesian optimization of objective functions of the form $\rho[ F(x, W) ]$, where $F$ is a black-box expensive-to-evaluate function and $\rho$ denotes either the VaR or CVaR risk measure, computed with respect to the randomness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Sait Cakmak , Raul Astudillo , Peter Frazier , Enlu Zhou

We have developed a Bayesian optimization (BO) workflow that integrates intra-step noise optimization into automated experimental cycles. Traditional BO approaches in automated experiments focus on optimizing experimental trajectories but…