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Dropout in higher education is commonly analysed through observable academic events such as course failure or repetition. However, these event-based perspectives may obscure the underlying structural dynamics that shape student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hugo Roger Paz

Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are often interpreted as local randomized experiments: a RD design can be considered as a randomized experiment for units with a realized value of a so-called forcing variable falling around a pre-fixed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-16 Fan Li , Alessandra Mattei , Fabrizia Mealli

This study examines the causal impact of being placed on the Dean's List, a positive education incentive, on future student performance using a regression discontinuity design. The results suggest that for students with low prior academic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-20 Luc , Chen

Graduation and dropout rates have always been a serious consideration for educational institutions and students. High dropout rates negatively impact both the lives of individual students and institutions. To address this problem, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Sean Kim , Eliot Yoo , Samuel Kim

One of the long term goals of any college or university is increasing the student retention. The negative impact of student dropout are clear to students, parents, universities and society. The positive effect of decreasing student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Mehrdad J. Bani , Mina Haji

For many students, placement into developmental education becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Placing college students into developmental education significantly negatively impacts student attainment, student probability of passing, and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Jason Godfrey

Large-scale administrative data is a common input in early warning systems for college dropout in higher education. Still, the terminology and methodology vary significantly across existing studies, and the implications of different…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Dominik Glandorf , Hye Rin Lee , Gabe Avakian Orona , Marina Pumptow , Renzhe Yu , Christian Fischer

The regression discontinuity (RD) design offers identification of causal effects under weak assumptions, earning it a position as a standard method in modern political science research. But identification does not necessarily imply that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Drew Stommes , P. M. Aronow , Fredrik Sävje

Each year, roughly 30% of first-year students at US baccalaureate institutions do not return for their second year and over $9 billion is spent educating these students. Yet, little quantitative research has analyzed the causes and possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Lovenoor Aulck , Nishant Velagapudi , Joshua Blumenstock , Jevin West

Understanding socio-academic and economic factors influencing students' performance is crucial for effective educational interventions. This study employs several machine learning techniques and causal analysis to predict and elucidate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Md. Biplob Hosen , Sabbir Ahmed , Bushra Akter , Mehrin Anannya

The ability to sustain engagement and recover from setbacks (i.e., resilience) -- is fundamental for learning. When resilience weakens, students are at risk of disengagement and may drop out and miss on opportunities. Therefore, predicting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Santtu Tikka , Markus Wolfgang Hermann Spitzer

Timely prediction of students at high risk of dropout is critical for early intervention and improving educational outcomes. However, in offline educational settings, poor data quality, limited scale, and high heterogeneity often hinder the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Xinzhe Zheng

Research on student progression in higher education has traditionally focused on vertical outcomes such as persistence and dropout, often reducing complex academic histories to binary indicators. While the structural component of horizontal…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-05 H. R. Paz

We extend the continuity-based framework to Regression Discontinuity Designs (RDDs) to identify and estimate causal effects under interference when units are connected through a network. Assignment to an "effective treatment," combining the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Elena Dal Torrione , Tiziano Arduini , Laura Forastiere

Education plays a pivotal role in alleviating poverty, driving economic growth, and empowering individuals, thereby significantly influencing societal and personal development. However, the persistent issue of school dropout poses a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Maria Psyridou , Fabi Prezja , Minna Torppa , Marja-Kristiina Lerkkanen , Anna-Maija Poikkeus , Kati Vasalampi

Creating a study program for optimal academic completion is a complex assignment. Especially programs in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics field are known for extended completion time as well as high drop-out rates…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Marcel Dröscher , Alpar Gür , Nicolas Rehbach

The regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental design that can be used to identify and estimate the causal effect of a treatment using observational data. In an RDD, a pre-specified rule is used for treatment assignment,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-05 Panayiota Constantinou , Aidan G. O'Keeffe

This study investigates the factors associated with failure in each of the four thematic units of a General Statistics course offered at a private university in Colombia. Unlike traditional analyses that treat performance as a single…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-10-24 Biviana Marcela Suarez Sierra

Student dropout prediction is an indispensable for numerous intelligent systems to measure the education system and success rate of any university as well as throughout the university in the world. Therefore, it becomes essential to develop…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Sweta Rai

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental approach to study the causal effects of an intervention/treatment on later health outcomes. It exploits a continuously measured assignment variable with a clearly defined cut-off…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Maja Popovic , Daniela Zugna , Lorenzo Richiardi
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