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Related papers: Optimal Lower Bounds for Online Multicalibration

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Machine-generated probability predictions are essential in modern classification tasks such as image classification. A model is well calibrated when its predicted probabilities correspond to observed event frequencies. Despite the need for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Amy Vennos , Xin Xing , Christopher T. Franck

Reliable confidence estimation is a challenging yet fundamental requirement in many risk-sensitive applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions, i.e., misclassified samples from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Fei Zhu , Xu-Yao Zhang , Zhen Cheng , Cheng-Lin Liu

In this paper, we investigate the streaming bandits problem, wherein the learner aims to minimize regret by dealing with online arriving arms and sublinear arm memory. We establish the tight worst-case regret lower bound of $\Omega \left(…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Shaoang Li , Lan Zhang , Junhao Wang , Xiang-Yang Li

We present a novel multilabel/ranking algorithm working in partial information settings. The algorithm is based on 2nd-order descent methods, and relies on upper-confidence bounds to trade-off exploration and exploitation. We analyze this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-17 Claudio Gentile , Francesco Orabona

We consider the problem of prediction with expert advice when the losses of the experts have low-dimensional structure: they are restricted to an unknown $d$-dimensional subspace. We devise algorithms with regret bounds that are independent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour

In next-generation communications and networks, machine learning (ML) models are expected to deliver not only accurate predictions but also well-calibrated confidence scores that reflect the true likelihood of correct decisions. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Rashika Raina , Nidhi Simmons , David E. Simmons , Michel Daoud Yacoub , Trung Q. Duong

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We consider online learning problems in the realizable setting, where there is a zero-loss solution, and propose new Differentially Private (DP) algorithms that obtain near-optimal regret bounds. For the problem of online prediction from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hilal Asi , Vitaly Feldman , Tomer Koren , Kunal Talwar

We introduce a simple but general online learning framework in which a learner plays against an adversary in a vector-valued game that changes every round. Even though the learner's objective is not convex-concave (and so the minimax…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Daniel Lee , Georgy Noarov , Mallesh Pai , Aaron Roth

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

This paper studies an online learning problem that seeks optimal testing policies for a stream of subjects, each of whom can be evaluated through a sequence of candidate tests drawn from a common pool. We refer to this problem as the Online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Qiyuan Chen , Raed Al Kontar

Efficiently counting or detecting defective items is a crucial task in various fields ranging from biological testing to quality control to streaming algorithms. The \emph{group testing estimation problem} concerns estimating the number of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Nader H. Bshouty , Tsun-Ming Cheung , Gergely Harcos , Hamed Hatami , Anthony Ostuni

In this paper we propose a framework for solving constrained online convex optimization problem. Our motivation stems from the observation that most algorithms proposed for online convex optimization require a projection onto the convex set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-01 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

This work studies the statistical limits of uniform convergence for offline policy evaluation (OPE) problems with model-based methods (for episodic MDP) and provides a unified framework towards optimal learning for several well-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Ming Yin , Yu-Xiang Wang

In this work, we introduce an online model for communication complexity. Analogous to how online algorithms receive their input piece-by-piece, our model presents one of the players, Bob, his input piece-by-piece, and has the players Alice…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Josh Alman , Joshua R. Wang , Huacheng Yu

We study classification problems using binary estimators where the decision boundary is described by horizon functions and where the data distribution satisfies a geometric margin condition. A key novelty of our work is the derivation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Jonathan García , Philipp Petersen

In online (sequential) calibration, a forecaster predicts probability distributions over a finite outcome space $[d]$ over a sequence of $T$ days, with the goal of being calibrated. While asymptotically calibrated strategies are known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Binghui Peng

We prove a lower bound of $\tilde{\Omega}(n^{1/3})$ for the query complexity of any two-sided and adaptive algorithm that tests whether an unknown Boolean function $f:\{0,1\}^n\rightarrow \{0,1\}$ is monotone or far from monotone. This…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Xi Chen , Erik Waingarten , Jinyu Xie

We consider the classic Set Cover problem in the data stream model. For $n$ elements and $m$ sets ($m\geq n$) we give a $O(1/\delta)$-pass algorithm with a strongly sub-linear $\tilde{O}(mn^{\delta})$ space and logarithmic approximation…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Sariel Har-Peled , Piotr Indyk , Sepideh Mahabadi , Ali Vakilian

We consider sequential maximization of performance metrics that are general functions of a confusion matrix of a classifier (such as precision, F-measure, or G-mean). Such metrics are, in general, non-decomposable over individual instances,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wojciech Kotłowski , Marek Wydmuch , Erik Schultheis , Rohit Babbar , Krzysztof Dembczyński