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Related papers: Optimal Lower Bounds for Online Multicalibration

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Predicting the output of a dynamical system from streaming data is fundamental to real-time feedback control and decision-making. We first derive an autoregressive representation that relates future local outputs to asynchronous past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

Online-learning research has mainly been focusing on minimizing one objective function. In many real-world applications, however, several objective functions have to be considered simultaneously. Recently, an algorithm for dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Probability estimates generated by boosting ensembles are poorly calibrated because of the margin maximization nature of the algorithm. The outputs of the ensemble need to be properly calibrated before they can be used as probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-20 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Joseph Mellor , Nikunj C. Oza , Gavin Brown

Resource allocation in distributed and networked systems such as the Cloud is becoming increasingly flexible, allowing these systems to dynamically adjust toward the workloads they serve, in a demand-aware manner. Online balanced…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Harald Räcke , Stefan Schmid , Ruslan Zabrodin

We consider online optimization with binary decision variables and convex loss functions. We design a new algorithm, binary online gradient descent (bOGD) and bound its expected dynamic regret. We provide a regret bound that holds for any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Antoine Lesage-Landry , Joshua A. Taylor , Duncan S. Callaway

We study the problem of online multi-group learning, a learning model in which an online learner must simultaneously achieve small prediction regret on a large collection of (possibly overlapping) subsequences corresponding to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Samuel Deng , Daniel Hsu , Jingwen Liu

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

We study an online mixed discrete and continuous optimization problem where a decision maker interacts with an unknown environment for a number of $T$ rounds. At each round, the decision maker needs to first jointly choose a discrete and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Lintao Ye , Ming Chi , Zhi-Wei Liu , Xiaoling Wang , Vijay Gupta

Online bilevel optimization (OBO) has emerged as a powerful framework for many machine learning problems. Prior works have developed several algorithms that minimize the standard bilevel local regret or the window-averaged bilevel local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Tingkai Jia , Haiguang Wang , Cheng Chen

In this paper, we improve the regret bound for online kernel selection under bandit feedback. Previous algorithm enjoys a $O((\Vert f\Vert^2_{\mathcal{H}_i}+1)K^{\frac{1}{3}}T^{\frac{2}{3}})$ expected bound for Lipschitz loss functions. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Junfan Li , Shizhong Liao

This work studies the problem of sequential control in an unknown, nonlinear dynamical system, where we model the underlying system dynamics as an unknown function in a known Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. This framework yields a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Sham Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Kendall Lowrey , Motoya Ohnishi , Wen Sun

The analysis of online least squares estimation is at the heart of many stochastic sequential decision making problems. We employ tools from the self-normalized processes to provide a simple and self-contained proof of a tail bound of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-02-15 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , David Pal , Csaba Szepesvari

We prove a lower bound of $\Omega(n^2/\log^2 n)$ on the size of any syntactically multilinear arithmetic circuit computing some explicit multilinear polynomial $f(x_1, \ldots, x_n)$. Our approach expands and improves upon a result of Raz,…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-11-03 Noga Alon , Mrinal Kumar , Ben Lee Volk

We give a Gordon-Greenwald-Marks (GGM) style black-box reduction from online learning to online multicalibration. Concretely, we show that to achieve high-dimensional multicalibration with respect to a class of functions H, it suffices to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Gabriele Farina , Juan Carlos Perdomo

In this paper, we study a class of online optimization problems with long-term budget constraints where the objective functions are not necessarily concave (nor convex) but they instead satisfy the Diminishing Returns (DR) property.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Omid Sadeghi , Maryam Fazel

We investigate distributed online convex optimization with compressed communication, where $n$ learners connected by a network collaboratively minimize a sequence of global loss functions using only local information and compressed data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Sifan Yang , Wenhao Yang , Wei Jiang , Lijun Zhang

Coordinating multiple agents to collaboratively maximize submodular functions in unpredictable environments is a critical task with numerous applications in machine learning, robot planning and control. The existing approaches, such as the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qixin Zhang , Zongqi Wan , Yu Yang , Li Shen , Dacheng Tao

We address online linear optimization problems when the possible actions of the decision maker are represented by binary vectors. The regret of the decision maker is the difference between her realized loss and the best loss she would have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-02 Jean-Yves Audibert , Sébastien Bubeck , Gábor Lugosi

Calibration is a fundamental concept that aims at ensuring the reliability of probabilistic predictions by aligning them with real-world outcomes. There is a surge of studies on new calibration measures that are easier to optimize compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Haipeng Luo , Spandan Senapati , Vatsal Sharan