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Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework for clustering without pre-specifying the number of groups, yet they are well known to overestimate the number of clusters, especially for functional data. We show that a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Fumiya Iwashige , Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Shintaro Hashimoto

Quantifying uncertainties in physical or engineering systems often requires a large number of simulations of the underlying computer models that are computationally intensive. Emulators or surrogate models are often used to accelerate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Junda Xiong , Xin Cai , Jinglai Li

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Disease mapping is the field of spatial epidemiology interested in estimating the spatial pattern in disease risk across $n$ areal units. One aim is to identify units exhibiting elevated disease risks, so that public health interventions…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-05 Craig Anderson , Duncan Lee , Nema Dean

Finite mixture models are flexible methods that are commonly used for model-based clustering. A recent focus in the model-based clustering literature is to highlight the difference between the number of components in a mixture model and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Massimo Ventrucci , Maria Franco-Villoria

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

The non-stationary nature of data streams strongly challenges traditional machine learning techniques. Although some solutions have been proposed to extend traditional machine learning techniques for handling data streams, these approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Xuyang Yan , Abdollah Homaifar , Mrinmoy Sarkar , Abenezer Girma , Edward Tunstel

Urban air quality is a major concern today. Concentrations of pollutants, such as nitrogen dioxide, must be monitored to ensure that they do not exceed hazardous thresholds. For this reason, scarse reference stations, which are generally…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Emma Thulliez , Camille Coron

This paper is concerned with the online estimation of a nonlinear dynamic system from a series of noisy measurements. The focus is on cases wherein outliers are present in-between normal noises. We assume that the outliers follow an unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-14 Bin Liu

A major challenge facing existing sequential Monte-Carlo methods for parameter estimation in physics stems from the inability of existing approaches to robustly deal with experiments that have different mechanisms that yield the results…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Christopher Granade , Nathan Wiebe

Robust clustering of high-dimensional data is an important topic because clusters in real datasets are often heavy-tailed and/or asymmetric. Traditional approaches to model-based clustering often fail for high dimensional data, e.g., due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Alexa A. Sochaniwsky , Michael P. B. Gallaugher , Yang Tang , Paul D. McNicholas

Unsupervised clustering algorithm can effectively reduce the dimension of high-dimensional unlabeled data, thus reducing the time and space complexity of data processing. However, the traditional clustering algorithm needs to set the upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Zecang Gu , Xiaoqi Sun , Yuan Sun , Fuquan Zhang

Air pollution, particularly particulate matter (PM2.5), poses significant risks to public health and the environment, necessitating accurate prediction and continuous monitoring for effective air quality management. However, air quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Yohan Choi , Boaz Choi , Jachin Choi

In the field of population health research, understanding the similarities between geographical areas and quantifying their shared effects on health outcomes is crucial. In this paper, we synthesise a number of existing methods to create a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-27 Wala Draidi Areed , Aiden Price , Helen Thompson , Reid Malseed , Kerrie Mengersen

Bayesian nonparametrics are a class of probabilistic models in which the model size is inferred from data. A recently developed methodology in this field is small-variance asymptotic analysis, a mathematical technique for deriving learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-27 Trevor Campbell , Brian Kulis , Jonathan How

Model-based clustering of moderate or large dimensional data is notoriously difficult. We propose a model for simultaneous dimensionality reduction and clustering by assuming a mixture model for a set of latent scores, which are then linked…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Lorenzo Ghilotti , Mario Beraha , Alessandra Guglielmi

Global ambient air pollution, a transboundary challenge, is typically addressed through interventions relying on data from spatially sparse and heterogeneously placed monitoring stations. These stations often encounter temporal data gaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Liam J Berrisford , Hugo Barbosa , Ronaldo Menezes

Bayesian non-parametric methods based on Dirichlet process mixtures have seen tremendous success in various domains and are appealing in being able to borrow information by clustering samples that share identical parameters. However, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Suprateek Kundu , Joshua Lukemire
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