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Large Language Models (LLMs) fine-tuned to align with human values often exhibit alignment drift, producing unsafe or policy-violating completions when exposed to adversarial prompts, decoding perturbations, or paraphrased jailbreaks. While…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Amitava Das , Vinija Jain , Aman Chadha

Modern deep learning for asset allocation typically separates forecasting from optimization. We argue this creates a fundamental mismatch where minimizing prediction errors fails to yield robust portfolios. We propose the Signature Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yoontae Hwang , Stefan Zohren

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Machine learning-based decision support systems are increasingly deployed in clinical settings, where probabilistic scoring functions are used to inform and prioritize patient management decisions. However, widely used scoring rules, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Gerardo A. Flores , Alyssa H. Smith , Julia A. Fukuyama , Ashia C. Wilson

Many real-world classification problems are cost-sensitive in nature, such that the misclassification costs vary between data instances. Cost-sensitive learning adapts classification algorithms to account for differences in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Natalie Lawrance , Marie-Anne Guerry , George Petrides

Modern end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) models like Whisper not only suffer from reduced recognition accuracy in noise, but also exhibit overconfidence - assigning high confidence to wrong predictions. We conduct a systematic…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Mingyue Huo , Yuheng Zhang , Yan Tang

In next-generation communications and networks, machine learning (ML) models are expected to deliver not only accurate predictions but also well-calibrated confidence scores that reflect the true likelihood of correct decisions. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Rashika Raina , Nidhi Simmons , David E. Simmons , Michel Daoud Yacoub , Trung Q. Duong

Fraud detection remains a critical task in high-stakes domains such as finance and e-commerce, where undetected fraudulent transactions can lead to significant economic losses. In this study, we systematically compare the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Chao Wang , Chuanhao Nie , Yunbo Liu

Card transaction fraud is a growing problem affecting card holders worldwide. Financial institutions increasingly rely upon data-driven methods for developing fraud detection systems, which are able to automatically detect and block…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-07 Sebastiaan Höppner , Bart Baesens , Wouter Verbeke , Tim Verdonck

The paper investigates the distributed estimation problem under low bit rate communications. Based on the signal-comparison (SC) consensus protocol under binary-valued communications, a new consensus+innovations type distributed estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Jieming Ke , Xiaodong Lu , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

Network intrusion detection systems are an active area of research to identify threats that face computer networks. Network packets comprise of high dimensions which require huge effort to be examined effectively. As these dimensions…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-19 Nour Moustafa , Jill Slay

Recent advances in object detectors have led to their adoption for industrial uses. However, their deployment in safety-critical applications is hindered by the inherent lack of reliability of neural networks and the complex structure of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Léo andéol , Luca Mossina , Adrien Mazoyer , Sébastien Gerchinovitz

Evaluating side-channel analysis (SCA) security is a complex process, involving applying several techniques whose success depends on human engineering. Therefore, it is crucial to avoid a false sense of confidence provided by non-optimal…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Unai Rioja , Lejla Batina , Igor Armendariz , Jose Luis Flores

Beyond assigning the correct class, an activity recognition model should also be able to determine, how certain it is in its predictions. We present the first study of how welthe confidence values of modern action recognition architectures…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Alina Roitberg , Monica Haurilet , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Recent advances in deep learning have significantly improved predictive accuracy. However, modern neural networks remain systematically overconfident, posing risks for deployment in safety-critical scenarios. Current post-hoc calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Haolan Guo , Linwei Tao , Haoyang Luo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting a multichannel signal in interference and noise when signal mismatch happens. We first propose two selective detectors, since their strong selectivity is preferred in some situations.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-27 Weijian Liu , Jun Liu , Yongchan Gao , Guoshi Wang , Yong-Liang Wang

Quantifying uncertainty of predictions has been identified as one way to develop more trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) models beyond conventional reporting of performance metrics. When considering their role in a clinical decision…

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Causal inference necessarily relies upon untestable assumptions; hence, it is crucial to assess the robustness of obtained results to violations of identification assumptions. However, such sensitivity analysis is only occasionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao

The rapid influx of data-driven models into the industrial sector has been facilitated by the proliferation of sensor technology, enabling the collection of vast quantities of data. However, leveraging these models for failure detection and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Ali Beikmohammadi , Mohammad Hosein Hamian , Neda Khoeyniha , Tony Lindgren , Olof Steinert , Sindri Magnússon
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