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Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is an effective intervention for preventing HIV transmission, but high cost and uneven uptake raise challenges for resource allocation. While spillover effects, wherein PrEP use in one group reduces…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Chiara Piazzola , Salman Safdar , Alex Viguerie , Abba B. Gumel

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) has been established as an effective tool for preventing HIV infection among men who have sex with men (MSM). However, there is the possibility of PrEP usage leading to increased sexual partners and increased…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-29 Esteban Vargas Bernal , Morgan Spahnie , William Miller , Abigail Turner , Joseph Tien

HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) drastically reduces the risk of HIV infection if taken as prescribed, providing almost perfect protection even during unprotected sexual intercourse. Although this has been transformative in reducing new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-15 Piklu Mallick , Laura Müller , Antonio Marín-Carballo , Philipp Dönges , Seba Contreras

Random mixing in host populations has been a convenient simplifying assumption in the study of epidemics, but neglects important differences in contact rates within and between population groups. For HIV/AIDS, the assumption of random…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-24 Brian G. Williams , Christopher Dye

Black men who have sex with men (MSM) in the U.S. are more likely to be HIV-positive than White MSM. Intentional and unintentional segregation of Black from non-Black MSM in sex partner meeting places may perpetuate this disparity, a fact…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-13 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Sexual contacts are the main spreading route of HIV. This puts sex workers at higher risk of infection even in populations where HIV prevalence is moderate or low. Alongside condom use, Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) is an effective tool…

Key populations at high risk of HIV infection are critical for understanding and monitoring HIV epidemics, but global estimation is hampered by sparse, uneven data. We analyze data from 199 countries for female sex workers (FSW), men who…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Jiahao Zhang , Keith Sabin , Le Bao

The transmission through contacts among MSM (men who have sex with men) is one of the dominating contributors to HIV prevalence in industrialized countries. In Amsterdam, the capital of the Netherlands, the MSM risk group has been traced…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2010-12-30 Shan Mei , Rick Quax , David van de Vijver , Yifan Zhu , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A. Sloot

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

HIV pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) has become essential for global HIV control, but its implementation coincides with rising bacterial STI rates among men who have sex with men (MSM). While risk-compensation behavioral changes like reduced…

Background. Several studies have used phylogenetics to investigate Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) transmission among Men who have Sex with Men (MSMs) in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, revealing many transmission clusters. The Quebec HIV…

In this letter, we mainly consider an MSM (men have sex with men) network to analysis how monogamy behavior can influence the transmission of HIV. By calculating and analyzing the basic reproductive number of that network, we find the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Chentong Li , Jiawei liu , Yicang Zhou

Background: After a decade of a treatment as prevention (TasP) strategy based on progressive HIV testing scale-up and earlier treatment, a reduction in the estimated number of new infections in men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) in England had…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-05 Francesco Brizzi , Paul J Birrell , Peter Kirwan , Dana Ogaz , Alison E Brown , Valerie C Delpech , O Noel Gill , Daniela De Angelis

Molecular HIV Surveillance (MHS) has been described as key to enabling rapid responses to HIV outbreaks. It operates by linking individuals with genetically similar viral sequences, which forms a network. A major limitation of MHS is that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-24 Ravi Goyal , Kevin Nguyen , Victor De Gruttola , Susan J Little , Colby Cohen , Natasha K Martin

Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) consists in the use of an antiretroviral medication to prevent the acquisition of HIV infection by uninfected individuals and has recently demonstrated to be highly efficacious for HIV prevention. We propose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Network surveys of key populations at risk for HIV are an essential part of the effort to understand how the epidemic spreads and how it can be prevented. Estimation of population values from the sample data has been probematical, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Steve Thompson

We describe how to generate a heterosexual network with a prescribed joint-degree distribution that is embedded in a prescribed large-scale social contact network. The structure of a sexual network plays an important role in how sexually…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-19 Asma Azizi , Zhuolin Qu , Bryan Lewis , James Mac Hyman

A simple deterministic model is proposed to represent the basic aspects concerning the effects of different antiretroviral treatment schedules on HIV incidence and prevalence of affected populations. The model mimics current treatment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-29 L. F. Lopez , F. A. B. Coutinho , M. N. Burattini , E. Massad

Network models are increasingly used to study infectious disease spread. Exponential Random Graph models have a history in this area, with scalable inference methods now available. An alternative approach uses mechanistic network models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Octavious Smiley , Till Hoffmann , Jukka-Pekka Onnela
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