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For models evaluated at a random set of independent variables, the variance-based Shapley effects range between Sobol' indices, and the corresponding total indices admit derivative-based upper-bounds. Such relationships fail when the inputs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni

Shapley effects are attracting increasing attention as sensitivity measures. When the value function is the conditional variance, they account for the individual and higher order effects of a model input. They are also well defined under…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-13 Elmar Plischke , Giovanni Rabitti , Emanuele Borgonovo

The Shapley effects are global sensitivity indices: they quantify the impact of each input variable on the output variable in a model. In this work, we suggest new estimators of these sensitivity indices. When the input distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker

This manuscript is superseded by Constantine, Dow, and Wang's "Active Subspaces in Theory and Practice: Applications to Kriging Surfaces" [SIAM J. of Sci. Comput., 36 (2014), pp. A1500-A1524]. Many multivariate functions encountered in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Paul G. Constantine , Qiqi Wang

We present a new dimension reduction method called the global active subspace method. The method uses expected values of finite differences of the underlying function to identify the important directions, and builds a surrogate model using…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Ruilong Yue , Giray Ökten

Active subspaces are an emerging set of tools for identifying and exploiting the most important directions in the space of a computer simulation's input parameters; these directions depend on the simulation's quantity of interest, which we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Paul G. Constantine , Armin Eftekhari , Michael B. Wakin

Many multivariate functions in engineering models vary primarily along a few directions in the space of input parameters. When these directions correspond to coordinate directions, one may apply global sensitivity measures to determine the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

We introduce a new Shapley value approach for global sensitivity analysis and machine learning explainability. The method is based on the first-order partial derivatives of the underlying function. The computational complexity of the method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Hui Duan , Giray Ökten

Derivative-free algorithms seek the minimum of a given function based only on function values queried at appropriate points. Although these methods are widely used in practice, their performance is known to worsen as the problem dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-10 Warren Hare , Lindon Roberts , Clément W. Royer

We propose a multifidelity dimension reduction method to identify a low-dimensional structure present in many engineering models. The structure of interest arises when functions vary primarily on a low-dimensional subspace of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Rémi Lam , Olivier Zahm , Youssef Marzouk , Karen Willcox

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Scientists and engineers rely on accurate mathematical models to quantify the objects of their studies, which are often high-dimensional. Unfortunately, high-dimensional models are inherently difficult, i.e. when observations are sparse or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Robert A. Bridges , Chris Felder , Chelsey Hoff

Shapley effects are a particularly interpretable approach to assessing how a function depends on its various inputs. The existing literature contains various estimators for this class of sensitivity indices in the context of nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Akira Horiguchi , Matthew T. Pratola

We propose an algorithmic framework, that employs active subspace techniques, for scalable global optimization of functions with low effective dimension (also referred to as low-rank functions). This proposal replaces the original…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Coralia Cartis , Xinzhu Liang , Estelle Massart , Adilet Otemissov

Predictions from science and engineering models depend on several input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis quantifies the importance of each input parameter, which can lead to insight into the model and reduced computational cost;…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Paul Diaz

The inputs of deep neural network (DNN) from real-world data usually come with uncertainties. Yet, it is challenging to propagate the uncertainty in the input features to the DNN predictions at a low computational cost. This work employs a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Weiqi Ji , Zhuyin Ren , Chung K. Law

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

The interactions between parameters, model structure, and outputs can determine what inferences, predictions, and control strategies are possible for a given system. Parameter space reduction and parameter estimation---and, more generally,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Andrew F. Brouwer , Marisa C. Eisenberg
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