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We consider the Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems when the underlying operator depends on an unknown parameter. Allowing for finite dimensional as well as infinite dimensional parameters, the theory covers several models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Mathias Trabs

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

We study random series priors for estimating a functional parameter (f\in L^2[0,1]). We show that with a series prior with random truncation, Gaussian coefficients, and inverse gamma multiplicative scaling, it is possible to achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

Sparse Bayesian factor models are routinely implemented for parsimonious dependence modeling and dimensionality reduction in high-dimensional applications. We provide theoretical understanding of such Bayesian procedures in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Natesh S. Pillai , David Dunson

Constrained learning is prevalent in many statistical tasks. Recent work proposes distance-to-set penalties to derive estimators under general constraints that can be specified as sets, but focuses on obtaining point estimates that do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Rick Presman , Jason Xu

We present reduced basis approximations and rigorous a posteriori error bounds for the instationary Stokes equations. We shall discuss both a method based on the standard formulation as well as a method based on a penalty approach, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Anna-Lena Gerner , Arnold Reusken , Karen Veroy

For linear systems, many data-driven control methods rely on the behavioral framework, using historical data of the system to predict the future trajectories. However, measurement noise introduces errors in predictions. When the noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Baiwei Guo , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Deep learning has revolutionized the last decade, being at the forefront of extraordinary advances in a wide range of tasks including computer vision, natural language processing, and reinforcement learning, to name but a few. However, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Sebastian W. Ober

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

Solutions to inverse problems that are ill-conditioned or ill-posed may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Unfortunately, analysing and quantifying this uncertainty is very challenging, particularly in high-dimensional problems. As a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Marcelo Pereyra

Backward simulation is an approximate inference technique for Bayesian belief networks. It differs from existing simulation methods in that it starts simulation from the known evidence and works backward (i.e., contrary to the direction of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Robert Fung , Brendan del Favero

Machine learning algorithms frequently require careful tuning of model hyperparameters, regularization terms, and optimization parameters. Unfortunately, this tuning is often a "black art" that requires expert experience, unwritten rules of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-30 Jasper Snoek , Hugo Larochelle , Ryan P. Adams

Modeled along the truncated approach in Panigrahi (2016), selection-adjusted inference in a Bayesian regime is based on a selective posterior. Such a posterior is determined together by a generative model imposed on data and the selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

We propose a new Bayesian strategy for adaptation to smoothness in nonparametric models based on heavy tailed series priors. We illustrate it in a variety of settings, showing in particular that the corresponding Bayesian posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Sergios Agapiou , Ismaël Castillo

We consider the statistical linear inverse problem of making inference on an unknown source function in an elliptic partial differential equation from noisy observations of its solution. We employ nonparametric Bayesian procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Matteo Giordano

A common method for assessing validity of Bayesian sampling or approximate inference methods makes use of simulated data replicates for parameters drawn from the prior. Under continuity assumptions, quantiles of functions of the simulated…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nadja Klein

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

In nonparameteric Bayesian approaches, Gaussian stochastic processes can serve as priors on real-valued function spaces. Existing literature on the posterior convergence rates under Gaussian process priors shows that it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Xiao Fang , Anindya Bhadra