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The paper proposes a model reduction algorithm for linear hybrid systems, i.e., hybrid systems with externally induced discrete events, with linear continuous subsystems, and linear reset maps. The model reduction algorithm is based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-19 Ion Victor Gosea , Mihaly Petreczky , John Leth , Rafael Wisniewski , Athanasios C. Antoulas

Generative models have emerged as powerful priors for solving inverse problems. These models typically represent a class of natural signals using a single fixed complexity or dimensionality. This can be limiting: depending on the problem, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sean Gunn , Jorio Cocola , Oliver De Candido , Vaggos Chatziafratis , Paul Hand

We analyze structure-preserving model order reduction methods for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and linear S(P)DEs with multiplicative noise based on balanced truncation. For the first time, we include in this study the analysis of non-zero…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Simon Becker , Carsten Hartmann , Martin Redmann , Lorenz Richter

The posterior variance of Gaussian processes is a valuable measure of the learning error which is exploited in various applications such as safe reinforcement learning and control design. However, suitable analysis of the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

A way to lower computational cost in large scale inverse problems and problems depending on poorly known model parameters is to replace the detailed model by an approximate one. Inverse problems are typically ill-posed, and the model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

This paper is concerned with the numerical solution of model-based, Bayesian inverse problems. We are particularly interested in cases where the cost of each likelihood evaluation (forward-model call) is expensive and the number of un-…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-25 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

We consider optimal experimental design (OED) for nonlinear inverse problems within the Bayesian framework. Optimizing the data acquisition process for large-scale nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems is a computationally challenging task…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Karina Koval , Ruanui Nicholson

In this paper we study properties of the Laplace approximation of the posterior distribution arising in nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems. Our work is motivated by Schillings et al. (2020), where it is shown that in such a setting the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Inverse problems arise anywhere we have indirect measurement. As, in general they are ill-posed, to obtain satisfactory solutions for them needs prior knowledge. Classically, different regularization methods and Bayesian inference based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-31 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Ning Chu , Li Wang , Liang Yu

In this work, the uncertainty associated with the finite element discretization error is modeled following the Bayesian paradigm. First, a continuous formulation is derived, where a Gaussian process prior over the solution space is updated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Anne Poot , Pierre Kerfriden , Iuri Rocha , Frans van der Meer

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We consider Bayesian inference for large scale inverse problems, where computational challenges arise from the need for repeated evaluations of an expensive forward model. This renders most Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches infeasible,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Bayesian priors offer a compact yet general means of incorporating domain knowledge into many learning tasks. The correctness of the Bayesian analysis and inference, however, largely depends on accuracy and correctness of these priors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Mahdi MIlani Fard , Joelle Pineau , Csaba Szepesvari

In indirect measurements, the measurand is determined by solving an inverse problem which requires a model of the measurement process. Such models are often approximations and introduce systematic errors leading to a bias of the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Maren Casfor , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Heidenreich , Nando Hegemann

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

Bayesian inverse problems use data to update a prior probability distribution on uncertain parameter values to a posterior distribution. Such problems arise in many structural engineering applications, but computational solution of Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Jakob Scheffels , Elizabeth Qian , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

Model reduction is a powerful tool in dealing with numerical simulation of large scale dynamic systems for studying complex physical systems. Two major types of model reduction methods for linear time-invariant dynamic systems are Krylov…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Lei-Hong Zhang , Ren-Cang Li

In this note we solve a general statistical inverse problem under absence of knowledge of both the noise level and the noise distribution via application of the (modified) heuristic discrepancy principle. Hereby the unbounded (non-Gaussian)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-12 Tim Jahn
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