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Text embeddings are essential components in modern NLP pipelines. Although numerous embedding models have been proposed, no single model consistently dominates across domains and tasks. This variability motivates the use of ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Sungjun Lim , Kangjun Noh , Youngjun Choi , Heeyoung Lee , Kyungwoo Song

We provide a complete framework for performing infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification for image reconstruction with Poisson data. In particular, we address the following issues to make the Bayesian framework…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Qingping Zhou , Tengchao Yu , Xiaoqun Zhang , Jinglai Li

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

We propose a simple approach that provides accurate uncertainty quantification for Bayesian inference in misspecified or approximate models, and for generalized (Gibbs) posteriors. While existing solutions in this context are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Bayesian formulations of inverse problems are attractive for their ability to incorporate prior knowledge and update probabilistic models as new data become available. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods sample posterior probability…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-07 Giovanni Angelo Meles , Stefano Marelli , Niklas Linde

Characterizing the interior structure of exoplanets is an inverse problem often solved using Bayesian inference, but this approach is hampered by the high computational cost of planetary structure models. To overcome this barrier, we…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Tijn De Wringer , Caroline Dorn , Emily O. Garvin , Stefano Marelli

Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

Bayesian inverse modeling is important for a better understanding of hydrological processes. However, this approach can be computationally demanding, as it usually requires a large number of model evaluations. To address this issue, one can…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-24 Jiangjiang Zhang , Qiang Zheng , Dingjiang Chen , Laosheng Wu , Lingzao Zeng

Bayesian inference is often implemented using approximations, which can yield interval estimates that are too narrow, not fully capturing the uncertainty in the posterior distribution. We address the question of how to adjust these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Tiffany Cai , Philip Greengard , Ben Goodrich , Andrew Gelman

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

We formulate approximate Bayesian inference in non-conjugate temporal and spatio-temporal Gaussian process models as a simple parameter update rule applied during Kalman smoothing. This viewpoint encompasses most inference schemes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 William J. Wilkinson , Paul E. Chang , Michael Riis Andersen , Arno Solin

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Approximations of loopy belief propagation, including expectation propagation and approximate message passing, have attracted considerable attention for probabilistic inference problems. This paper proposes and analyzes a generalization of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-26 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Sundeep Rangan , Philip Schniter

Many interesting problems in fields ranging from telecommunications to computational biology can be formalized in terms of large underdetermined systems of linear equations with additional constraints or regularizers. One of the most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Alfredo Braunstein , Anna Paola Muntoni , Andrea Pagnani , Mirko Pieropan

We address the problem of uncertainty propagation in the discrete Fourier transform by modeling the fast Fourier transform as a factor graph. Building on this representation, we propose an efficient framework for approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Luca Schmid , Charlotte Muth , Laurent Schmalen

Bayesian inference with deep generative prior has received considerable interest for solving imaging inverse problems in many scientific and engineering fields. The selection of the prior distribution is learned from, and therefore an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Jiayu Qian , Yuanyuan Liu , Jingya Yang , Qingping Zhou
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