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We establish new tail estimates for order statistics and for the Euclidean norms of projections of an isotropic log-concave random vector. More generally, we prove tail estimates for the norms of projections of sums of independent…

A popular measure of association is the tail dependence coefficient which measures the strength of dependence in either the lower-left or upper-right tail of a bivariate distribution. In this paper, we develop the idea of quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-09 A. Dastbaravarde , A. Dolati

We prove nonasymptotic matrix concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of (sub)gaussian random matrices with centered independent entries that capture fluctuations at the Tracy-Widom scale. This considerably improves previous bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Sergey Foss , Anton Tarasenko , Georgiy Krivtsov

We study limits of the largest connected components (viewed as metric spaces) obtained by critical percolation on uniformly chosen graphs and configuration models with heavy-tailed degrees. For rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs, such…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Shankar Bhamidi , Souvik Dhara , Remco van der Hofstad , Sanchayan Sen

Let $\eta_1$, $\eta_2,\ldots$ be independent copies of a random variable $\eta$ with zero mean and finite variance which is bounded from the right, that is, $\eta\leq b$ almost surely for some $b>0$. Considering different types of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Alexander Iksanov , Vitali Wachtel

We study the aggregation of two risks when the marginal distributions are known and the dependence structure is unknown, under the additional constraint that one risk is smaller than or equal to the other. Risk aggregation problems with the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-22 Yuyu Chen , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

We propose an approach to the aggregation of risks which is based on estimation of simple quantities (such as covariances) associated to a vector of dependent random variables, and which avoids the use of parametric families of copulae. Our…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-10 Brice Franke , Michael Stolz

We prove an asymptotically tight bound on the extremal density guaranteeing subdivisions of bounded-degree bipartite graphs with a mild separability condition. As corollaries, we answer several questions of Reed and Wood on embedding sparse…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-03-22 John Haslegrave , Jaehoon Kim , Hong Liu

We establish some uniform limit results in the setting of additive regression model estimation. Our results allow to give an asymptotic 100% confidence bands for these components. These results are stated in the framework of i.i.d random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh

In this work we investigate the asymptotic behaviour of weighted partial sums of a particular class of random variables related to Oppenheim series expansions. More precisely, we verify convergence in probability as well as almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Rita Giuliano , Milto Hadjikyriakou

We consider the quantum dynamics of a particle on a lattice for large times. Assuming translation invariance, and either discrete or continuous time parameter, the distribution of the ballistically scaled position $Q(t)/t$ converges weakly…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Christopher Cedzich , Alain Joye , Albert H. Werner , Reinhard F. Werner

Causal inference for extreme events has many potential applications in fields such as climate science, medicine and economics. We study the extremal quantile treatment effect of a binary treatment on a continuous, heavy-tailed outcome.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 David Deuber , Jinzhou Li , Sebastian Engelke , Marloes H. Maathuis

In this work, we study asymptotic zero distribution of random multi-variable polynomials which are random linear combinations $\sum_{j}a_jP_j(z)$ with i.i.d coefficients relative to a basis of orthonormal polynomials $\{P_j\}_j$ induced by…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Turgay Bayraktar

The work of this paper is devoted to obtaining strong laws for intermediately trimmed sums of random variables with infinite means. Particularly, we provide conditions under which the intermediately trimmed sums of independent but not…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Rita Giuliano , Milto Hadjikyriakou

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

In recent years, tensors have been applied to different applications in science and engineering fields. In order to establish theory about tail bounds of the tensors summation behavior, this work extends previous work by considering the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Shih Yu Chang

In this paper we investigate the probability distribution of the sum $Y$ of $\ell$ independent identically distributed random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_p$. Our main focus is the regime of small values of $\ell$, which is less…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Simone Costa

We introduce the notion of uniform exactness, or uniform amenability at infinity, for discrete groups and prove it for a wide class of groups containing free groups and their limit groups. This shows a novel strong convergence phenomenon…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Narutaka Ozawa
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