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Understanding how best to estimate state-level policy effects is important, and several unanswered questions remain, particularly about the ability of statistical models to disentangle the effects of concurrently enacted policies. In…

Current psychiatric research is in crisis. In this review I will describe the causes of this crisis and highlight recent efforts to overcome current challenges. One particularly promising approach is the emerging field of computational…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-25 Thomas V. Wiecki

Identifying subgroups, which respond differently to a treatment, both in terms of efficacy and safety, is an important part of drug development. A well-known challenge in exploratory subgroup analyses is the small sample size in the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp

Background: Opioid misuse is a major public health issue in the United States and in particular Ohio. However, the burden of the epidemic is challenging to quantify as public health surveillance measures capture different aspects of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Staci Hepler , Erin McKnight , Andrea Bonny , David Kline

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has overwhelmingly demonstrated the need to accurately evaluate the effects of implementing new or altering existing nonpharmaceutical interventions. Since these interventions applied at the societal level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Daniel K. Sewell , Aaron Miller

Opioid addiction has become a global epidemic and a national health crisis in recent years, with the number of opioid overdose fatalities steadily increasing since the 1990s. In contrast to the dynamics of a typical illicit drug or disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-03 Nicholas A. Battista , Leigh B. Pearcy , W. Christopher Strickland

The opioid epidemic in the United States claims over 40,000 lives per year, and it is estimated that well over two million Americans have an opioid use disorder. Over-prescription and misuse of prescription opioids play an important role in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-03 Jen J. Gong , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Toby E. Stuart , Mathijs de Vaan

An important goal of precision medicine is to personalize medical treatment by identifying individuals who are most likely to benefit from a specific treatment. The Likely Responder (LR) framework, which identifies a subpopulation where…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Annan Deng , Carole Siegel , Hyung G. Park

In recent years, the US has experienced an opioid epidemic with an unprecedented number of drugs overdose deaths. Research finds such overdose deaths are linked to neighborhood-level traits, thus providing opportunity to identify effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Sachin Gavali , Chuming Chen , Julie Cowart , Xi Peng , Shanshan Ding , Cathy Wu , Tammy Anderson

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

The dearth of prescribing guidelines for physicians is one key driver of the current opioid epidemic in the United States. In this work, we analyze medical and pharmaceutical claims data to draw insights on characteristics of patients who…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Chirag Nagpal , Dennis Wei , Bhanukiran Vinzamuri , Monica Shekhar , Sara E. Berger , Subhro Das , Kush R. Varshney

In this work, we introduce a novel mathematical network model for community level preventative health interventions. We develop algorithms to approximately solve this novel formulation at large scale and we rigorously explore their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Nicholas A. G. Johnson

Quantifying causal effects in the presence of complex and multivariate outcomes remains a key challenge in treatment evaluation. For hierarchical multivariate outcomes, the FDA recommends the Win Ratio and Generalized Pairwise Comparisons…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Mathieu Even , Julie Josse

Racialized economic segregation, a key metric that simultaneously accounts for spatial, social and income polarization, has been linked to adverse health outcomes, including morbidity and mortality; however, statistical methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yang Xu , Loni Philip Tabb

The computational underpinnings of positive psychotic symptoms have recently received significant attention. Candidate mechanisms include some combination of maladaptive priors and reduced updating of these priors during perception. A…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-03-26 David Benrimoh , Ely Sibarium , Andrew Sheldon , Albert Powers

Modern causal decision-making increasingly demands individualized treatment-effect estimation in networks where interventions are high-dimensional, combinatorial vectors. While network interference, effect heterogeneity, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yunping Lu , Haoang Chi , Qirui Hu , Zhiheng Zhang

Deep learning models achieve high predictive performance but lack intrinsic interpretability, hindering our understanding of the learned prediction behavior. Existing local explainability methods focus on associations, neglecting the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Niklas Penzel , Joachim Denzler

Behavioral health interventions, delivered through digital platforms, have the potential to significantly improve health outcomes, through education, motivation, reminders, and outreach. We study the problem of optimizing personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jackie Baek , Justin J. Boutilier , Vivek F. Farias , Jonas Oddur Jonasson , Erez Yoeli

Deep learning models have demonstrated promising results in estimating treatment effects (TEE). However, most of them overlook the variations in treatment outcomes among subgroups with distinct characteristics. This limitation hinders their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Seungyeon Lee , Ruoqi Liu , Wenyu Song , Ping Zhang