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Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction (TP) in air traffic management systems is confounded by a number of epistemic uncertainties, dominated by uncertain meteorological conditions and operator specific procedures. Handling this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Trajectory Prediction (TP) is an important research topic in computer vision and robotics fields. Recently, many stochastic TP models have been proposed to deal with this problem and have achieved better performance than the traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Chunnan Wang , Chen Liang , Xiang Chen , Hongzhi Wang

Trajectory prediction (TP) plays an important role in supporting the decision-making of Air Traffic Controllers (ATCOs). Traditional TP methods are deterministic and physics-based, with parameters that are calibrated using aircraft…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-27 Nick Pepper , George De Ath , Marc Thomas , Richard Everson , Tim Dodwell

We present a trajectory-based optimization framework for arrival sequencing and scheduling in the terminal maneuvering area (TMA). Unlike node-link scheduling models that reduce trajectories to time-delay variables, the proposed method…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Yutian Pang , Daniel Delahaye , John-Paul Clarke

High-speed flight vehicles, which travel much faster than the speed of sound, are crucial for national defense and space exploration. However, accurately predicting their behavior under numerous, varied flight conditions is a challenge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Tyler E. Korenyi-Both , Nathan J. Falkiewicz , Matthew C. Jones

Models for predicting aircraft motion are an important component of modern aeronautical systems. These models help aircraft plan collision avoidance maneuvers and help conduct offline performance and safety analyses. In this article, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Shane Barratt , Mykel Kochenderfer , Stephen Boyd

Aircraft trajectory modeling plays a crucial role in air traffic management (ATM) and is important for various downstream tasks, including conflict detection and landing time prediction. Dataset augmentation by adding synthetically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Seokbin Yoon , Keumjin Lee

To accommodate the unprecedented increase of commercial airlines over the next ten years, the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) has been implemented in the USA that records large-scale Air Traffic Management (ATM) data to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Kai Zhang , Yushan Jiang , Dahai Liu , Houbing Song

This paper presents a model based on an hybrid system to numerically simulate the climbing phase of an aircraft. This model is then used within a trajectory prediction tool. Finally, the Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Areski Hadjaz , Gaétan Marceau , Pierre Savéant , Marc Schoenauer

This paper develops a surrogate model refinement approach for the simulation of dynamical systems and the solution of optimization problems governed by dynamical systems in which surrogates replace expensive-to-compute state- and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Jonathan R. Cangelosi , Matthias Heinkenschloss

The current Air Traffic Management (ATM) system worldwide has reached its limits in terms of predictability, efficiency and cost effectiveness. Different initiatives worldwide propose trajectory-oriented transformations that require high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Alevizos Bastas , Theocharis Kravaris , George A. Vouros

Aircraft failures alter dynamics, diminishing manoeuvrability. Such manoeuvring flight envelope variations, governed by the aircraft's complex nonlinear dynamics, are unpredictable by pilots and existing flight management systems. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-06 Ramin Norouzi , Amirreza Kosari , Mark H. Lowenberg

The increased penetration of wind power introduces more operational changes of critical corridors and the traditional time-consuming transient stability constrained total transfer capability (TTC) operational planning is unable to meet the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Gao Qiu , Youbo Liu , Junyong Liu , Junbo Zhao , Lingfeng Wang , Tingjian Liu , Hongjun Gao

This paper presents a method for generating probabilistic descent trajectories in simulations of real-world airspace. A dataset of 116,066 trajectories harvested from Mode S radar returns in UK airspace was used to train and test the model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Arrival time prediction (ATP) of public transport vehicles is essential in improving passenger experience and supporting traffic management. Deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in ATP due to its ability to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Zirui Li , Bin Yang , Meng Wang

Trajectory estimation of maneuvering objects is applied in numerous tasks like navigation, path planning and visual tracking. Many previous works get impressive results in the strictly controlled condition with accurate prior statistics and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Weipeng Li , Xiaogang Yang , Ruitao Lu , Jiwei Fan , Tao Zhang , Chuan He

Predicting flight trajectories is a research area that holds significant merit. In this paper, we propose a data-driven learning framework, that leverages the predictive and feature extraction capabilities of the mixture models and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Jun Xiang , Jun Chen

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

Space-time adaptive processing (STAP) is one of the most effective approaches to suppressing ground clutters in airborne radar systems. It basically takes two forms, i.e., full-dimension STAP (FD-STAP) and reduced-dimension STAP (RD-STAP).…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Di Song , Shengyao Chen , Feng Xi , Zhong Liu
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