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When variable selection methods are applied to bootstrapped and multiply imputed datasets, the set of selected variables typically varies across iterations. Aggregating results via the union rule can lead to overly dense models. We propose…
Quantum programs often produce probability distributions rather than deterministic outputs, making verification inherently statistical and increasingly costly on real hardware. In practice, developers still frequently rely on testing with…
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Three critical issues for causal inference that often occur in modern, complicated experiments are interference, treatment nonadherence, and missing outcomes. A great deal of research efforts has been dedicated to developing causal…
We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…
Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely used for autonomous materials discovery, yet its classical sequential formulation is insufficient for design of experimental workflows that often combine parallel or batch synthesis with inherently…
Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…
Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…
As a principled dimension reduction technique, factor models have been widely adopted in social science, economics, bioinformatics, and many other fields. However, in high-dimensional settings, conducting a 'correct' Bayesianfactor analysis…
External pilot trials of complex interventions are used to help determine if and how a confirmatory trial should be undertaken, providing estimates of parameters such as recruitment, retention and adherence rates. The decision to progress…
The Ramsey sequence is a canonical example of a quantum phase measurement for a spin qubit. In Ramsey measurements, the measurement efficiency can be optimized through careful selection of settings for the phase accumulation time setting,…
Causal inference has recently gained notable attention across various fields like biology, healthcare, and environmental science, especially within explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) systems, for uncovering the causal relationships…
Theoretical developments in sequential Bayesian analysis of multivariate dynamic models underlie new methodology for causal prediction. This extends the utility of existing models with computationally efficient methodology, enabling routine…
Covariate-dependent graph learning has gained increasing interest in the graphical modeling literature for the analysis of heterogeneous data. This task, however, poses challenges to modeling, computational efficiency, and interpretability.…
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A key quantity of interest in Bayesian inference are expectations of functions with respect to a posterior distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a fundamental tool to consistently compute these expectations via averaging samples drawn…
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Sequential design is a highly active field of research in active learning which provides a general framework for designing computer experiments with limited computational budgets. It aims to create efficient surrogate models to replace…
We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…
Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…