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Water managers in the western United States (U.S.) rely on longterm forecasts of temperature and precipitation to prepare for droughts and other wet weather extremes. To improve the accuracy of these longterm forecasts, the U.S. Bureau of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-23 Jessica Hwang , Paulo Orenstein , Judah Cohen , Karl Pfeiffer , Lester Mackey

Hourly rainfall extremes cause some of the most destructive weather disasters, yet numerical weather prediction models still struggle to forecast them, and a physical basis for their predictability remains unclear. Here, we identify a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Bijit Kumar Banerjee , Devabrat Sharma , Mahen Konwar , Simanta Das , Utpal Sarma , B. N. Goswami

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

Precipitation forecasts are less accurate compared to other meteorological fields because several key processes affecting precipitation distribution and intensity occur below the resolved scale of global weather prediction models. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-21 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

Forecasts of monsoon rainfall for India are made at national scale. But there is spatial coherence and heterogeneity that is relevant to forecasting. This paper considers year-to-year rainfall change and annual extremes at sub-national…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-27 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

Due to the rapidly changing climate, the frequency and severity of extreme weather is expected to increase over the coming decades. As fully-resolved climate simulations remain computationally intractable, policy makers must rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Alexis Charalampopoulos , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , Themistoklis Sapsis

Crop yield prediction is one of the most important challenge, which is crucial to world food security and policy-making decisions. The conventional forecasting techniques are limited in their accuracy with reference to the fact that they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Gopal Krishna Shyam , Ila Chandrakar

The current availability of soil moisture data over large areas comes from satellite remote sensing technologies (i.e., radar-based systems), but these data have coarse resolution and often exhibit large spatial information gaps. Where data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Danny Rorabaugh , Mario Guevara , Ricardo Llamas , Joy Kitson , Rodrigo Vargas , Michela Taufer

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Precise yield prediction is essential for agricultural sustainability and food security. However, climate change complicates accurate yield prediction by affecting major factors such as weather conditions, soil fertility, and farm…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Shalini Dangi , Surya Karthikeya Mullapudi , Chandravardhan Singh Raghaw , Shahid Shafi Dar , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

The challenge in predicting sub-regional climate within the Indian monsoon region is exacerbated by its increasing variability in a warming world. While exploring the seasonal predictability of rainfall over the state of Tamil Nadu in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Harini S , Devabrat Sharma , Yogenraj Patil , Gaurav Chopra , Shruti Tandon , B. N. Goswami , R. I. Sujith

The widespread deployment of wireless and mobile devices results in a proliferation of spatio-temporal data that is used in applications, e.g., traffic prediction, human mobility mining, and air quality prediction, where spatio-temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Hao Miao , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Kai Zheng , Feiteng Huang , Jiandong Xie , Christian S. Jensen

This paper presents a deep learning architecture for nowcasting of precipitation almost globally every 30 min with a 4-hour lead time. The architecture fuses a U-Net and a convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network and is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Reyhaneh Rahimi , Praveen Ravirathinam , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Ali Behrangi , Jackson Tan , Vipin Kumar

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kiattikun Chobtham , Kanoksri Sarinnapakorn , Kritanai Torsri , Prattana Deeprasertkul , Jirawan Kamma

Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has advanced significantly in recent decades but still faces challenges in accuracy, computational efficiency, and scalability. Data-driven weather models have shown great promise, sometimes surpassing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-18 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

Poor air quality has become an increasingly critical challenge for many metropolitan cities, which carries many catastrophicphysical and mental consequences on human health and quality of life. However, accurately monitoring and forecasting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Qi Zhang , Jacqueline CK Lam , Victor OK Li , Yang Han

This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang