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Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Causal inference in longitudinal biomedical data remains a central challenge, especially in psychiatry, where symptom heterogeneity and latent confounding frequently undermine classical estimators. Most existing methods for treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Eric V. Strobl

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) offer a unified framework for solving both forward and inverse problems of differential equations, yet their performance and physical consistency strongly depend on how governing laws are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Guojie Li , Liu Hong

Deep ensembles have emerged as a powerful technique for improving predictive performance and enhancing model robustness across various applications by leveraging model diversity. However, traditional deep ensemble methods are often…

The vast majority of the literature on learning dynamical systems or stochastic processes from time series has focused on stable or ergodic systems, for both Bayesian and frequentist inference procedures. However, most real-world systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Zachary P Adams , Sayan Mukherjee

While modern machine learning has transformed numerous application domains, its growing computational demands increasingly constrain scalability and efficiency, particularly on embedded and resource-limited platforms. In practice, neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Bernhard Klein

The monitoring and control of any dynamic system depends crucially on the ability to reason about its current status and its future trajectory. In the case of a stochastic system, these tasks typically involve the use of a belief state- a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Xavier Boyen , Daphne Koller

Structural learning of Bayesian Networks (BNs) is a NP-hard problem, which is further complicated by many theoretical issues, such as the I-equivalence among different structures. In this work, we focus on a specific subclass of BNs, named…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Daniele Ramazzotti , Marco S. Nobile , Marco Antoniotti , Alex Graudenzi

Economic evaluations from individual-level data are an important component of the process of technology appraisal, with a view to informing resource allocation decisions. A critical problem in these analyses is that both effectiveness and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-01 Andrea Gabrio , Alexina J. Mason , Gianluca Baio

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is to answer the question that how to choose designs that maximize the information gathering. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling is possible, conventional BED methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Jiaxin Zhang , Sirui Bi , Guannan Zhang

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

Belief tracking is a basic problem in planning with sensing. While the problem is intractable, it has been recently shown that for both deterministic and non-deterministic systems expressed in compact form, it can be done in time and space…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Blai Bonet , Hector Geffner

This paper investigates numerical methods for approximating the ground state of Bose--Einstein condensates (BECs) by introducing two relaxed formulations of the Gross--Pitaevskii energy functional. These formulations achieve first- and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Jing Guo , Yongyong Cai , Dong Wang

The recent development of compressed sensing has led to spectacular advances in the understanding of sparse linear estimation problems as well as in algorithms to solve them. It has also triggered a new wave of developments in the related…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Christophe Schülke

Learning systems acquire structured internal representations from data, yet classical information-theoretic results state that deterministic transformations do not increase information. This raises a fundamental question: how can learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daisuke Okanohara

The way a rational agent changes her belief in certain propositions/hypotheses in the light of new evidence lies at the heart of Bayesian inference. The basic natural assumption, as summarized in van Fraassen's Reflection Principle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-06-10 Berry Groisman

Mobile edge devices (e.g., AR/VR headsets) typically need to complete timely inference tasks while operating with limited on-board computing and energy resources. In this paper, we investigate the problem of collaborative inference in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Fatemeh Zahra Safaeipour , Jacob Chakareski , Morteza Hashemi

We derive, in the classical framework of Bayesian sensitivity analysis, optimal lower and upper bounds on posterior values obtained from Bayesian models that exactly capture an arbitrarily large number of finite-dimensional marginals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan