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Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Modern sensing and metrology systems now stream terabytes of heterogeneous, high-dimensional (HD) data profiles, images, and dense point clouds, whose natural representation is multi-way tensors. Understanding such data requires regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Qian Wang , Mohammad N. Bisheh , Kamran Paynabar

Most existing Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs) used for action recognition are either difficult to optimize or underuse crucial temporal information. Inspired by the fact that the recurrent model consistently makes breakthroughs in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Zhenxing Zheng , Gaoyun An , Qiuqi Ruan

The paper introduces a flexible model for the analysis of multivariate nonlinear time series data. The proposed Functional Coefficients Network Autoregressive (FCNAR) model considers the response of each node in the network to depend in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hang Yin , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

We propose Significance-Offset Convolutional Neural Network, a deep convolutional network architecture for regression of multivariate asynchronous time series. The model is inspired by standard autoregressive (AR) models and gating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Mikołaj Bińkowski , Gautier Marti , Philippe Donnat

The autoregressive (AR) models, such as attention-based encoder-decoder models and RNN-Transducer, have achieved great success in speech recognition. They predict the output sequence conditioned on the previous tokens and acoustic encoded…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Zhengkun Tian , Jiangyan Yi , Jianhua Tao , Ye Bai , Shuai Zhang , Zhengqi Wen , Xuefei Liu

High-dimensional panels of time series often arise in finance and macroeconomics, where co-movements within groups of panel components occur. Extracting these groupings from the data provides a coarse-grained description of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Brendan Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino , Mihai Cucuringu , Alessandra Luati

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani

We introduce a deep residual recurrent neural network (DR-RNN) as an efficient model reduction technique for nonlinear dynamical systems. The developed DR-RNN is inspired by the iterative steps of line search methods in finding the residual…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-05 J. Nagoor Kani , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Multivariate time-series modeling and forecasting is an important problem with numerous applications. Traditional approaches such as VAR (vector auto-regressive) models and more recent approaches such as RNNs (recurrent neural networks) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Hardik Goel , Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

Bidirectional recurrent neural networks (RNN) are trained to predict both in the positive and negative time directions simultaneously. They have not been used commonly in unsupervised tasks, because a probabilistic interpretation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Mathias Berglund , Tapani Raiko , Mikko Honkala , Leo Kärkkäinen , Akos Vetek , Juha Karhunen

In this paper we present a new framework for time-series modeling that combines the best of traditional statistical models and neural networks. We focus on time-series with long-range dependencies, needed for monitoring fine granularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Oskar Triebe , Nikolay Laptev , Ram Rajagopal

The era of data deluge has sparked the interest in graph-based learning methods in a number of disciplines such as sociology, biology, neuroscience, or engineering. In this paper, we introduce a graph recurrent neural network (GRNN) for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Antonio G. Marques , Georgios B. Giannakis

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

We propose a globally convergent multilevel training method for deep residual networks (ResNets). The devised method can be seen as a novel variant of the recursive multilevel trust-region (RMTR) method, which operates in hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Alena Kopaničáková , Rolf Krause

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

In economic and financial applications, there is often the need for analysing multivariate time series, comprising of time series for a range of quantities. In some applications such complex systems can be associated with some underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Anastasia Mantziou , Mihai Cucuringu , Victor Meirinhos , Gesine Reinert

We present a windowed technique to learn parsimonious time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate timeseries. This unsupervised method uncovers interpretable spatiotemporal structure in data via non-smooth and non-convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-21 Kameron Decker Harris , Aleksandr Aravkin , Rajesh Rao , Bingni Wen Brunton