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Almost all fields of science rely upon statistical inference to estimate unknown parameters in theoretical and computational models. While the performance of modern computer hardware continues to grow, the computational requirements for the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-25 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter inference by training neural networks on forward simulations. It is being applied both for intractable likelihoods as well as under time constraints on the posterior sampling. After…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-12 Leander Thiele

Star formation is a multi-scale problem, and only global simulations that account for the connection from the molecular cloud scale gas flow to the accreting protostar can reflect the observed complexity of protostellar systems.…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-07-28 Rami Al-Belmpeisi , Vito Tuhtan , Mikkel Bregning Christensen , Rajika L Kuruwita , Troels Haugbølle

Reconstructing astrophysical and cosmological fields from observations is challenging. It requires accounting for non-linear transformations, mixing of spatial structure, and noise. In contrast, forward simulators that map fields to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-01 Florian List , Noemi Anau Montel , Christoph Weniger

In this paper we take up Bayesian inference in general multivariate stable distributions. We exploit the representation of Matsui and Takemura (2009) for univariate projections, and the representation of the distributions in terms of their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Mike G. Tsionas

The interiors of neutron stars reach densities and temperatures beyond the limits of terrestrial experiments, providing vital laboratories for probing nuclear physics. While the star's interior is not directly observable, its pressure and…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-02-13 Delaney Farrell , Pierre Baldi , Jordan Ott , Aishik Ghosh , Andrew W. Steiner , Atharva Kavitkar , Lee Lindblom , Daniel Whiteson , Fridolin Weber

The non-uniform surface temperature distribution of rotating active stars is routinely mapped with the Doppler Imaging technique. Inhomogeneities in the surface produce features in high-resolution spectroscopic observations that shift in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-23 A. Asensio Ramos , C. Diaz Baso , O. Kochukhov

We introduce the Bayesian Global Sky Model (B-GSM), a novel data-driven Bayesian approach to modelling radio foregrounds at frequencies <400~MHz. B-GSM aims to address the limitations of previous models by incorporating robust error…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-12 George Carter , Will Handley , Mark Ashdown , Nima Razavi-Ghods

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

We present a novel nonparametric Bayesian approach based on L\'{e}vy Adaptive Regression Kernels (LARK) to model spectral data arising from MALDI-TOF (Matrix Assisted Laser Desorption Ionization Time-of-Flight) mass spectrometry. This…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-28 Leanna L. House , Merlise A. Clyde , Robert L. Wolpert

We propose a machine learning framework for parameter estimation of single mode Gaussian quantum states. Under a Bayesian framework, our approach estimates parameters of suitable prior distributions from measured data. For phase-space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-08-16 Neel Kanth Kundu , Matthew R. McKay , Ranjan K. Mallik

Extreme-mass-ratio inspiral (EMRI) signals pose significant challenges in gravitational wave (GW) astronomy owing to their low-frequency nature and highly complex waveforms, which occupy a high-dimensional parameter space with numerous…

We describe a scheme to extract linearly supporting (LSU) features from stellar spectra to automatically estimate the atmospheric parameters $T_{eff}$, log$~g$, and [Fe/H]. "Linearly supporting" means that the atmospheric parameters can be…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-20 Xiangru Li , Yu Lu , Georges Comte , Ali Luo , Yongheng Zhao , Yongjun Wang

Computer models are widely used to study complex real world physical systems. However, there are major limitations to their direct use including: their complex structure; large numbers of inputs and outputs; and long evaluation times.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Jonathan Owen , Ian Vernon

We present and implement a probabilistic (Bayesian) method for producing catalogs from images of stellar fields. The method is capable of inferring the number of sources N in the image and can also handle the challenges introduced by noise,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Brendon J. Brewer , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , David W. Hogg

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

Uncertainty quantification plays an important role in achieving trustworthy and reliable learning-based computational imaging. Recent advances in generative modeling and Bayesian neural networks have enabled the development of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

We examine the use of a novel variant of Physics-Informed Neural Networks to predict cosmological parameters from recent supernovae and baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) datasets. Our machine learning framework generates uncertainty…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-09 Hai Siong Tan

This paper develops a new empirical Bayesian inference algorithm for solving a linear inverse problem given multiple measurement vectors (MMV) of under-sampled and noisy observable data. Specifically, by exploiting the joint sparsity across…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Jiahui Zhang , Anne Gelb , Theresa Scarnati