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Concept learning becomes possible only when existing representations fail to account for experience. Most models of learning and inference, however, presuppose a fixed representational basis within which belief updating occurs. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

While the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) are powerful tools for model selection in linear regression, they are built on different prior assumptions and thereby apply to different data generation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 MB de Kock , HC Eggers

How can we precisely estimate a large language model's (LLM) accuracy on questions belonging to a specific topic within a larger question-answering dataset? The standard direct estimator, which averages the model's accuracy on the questions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Riccardo Fogliato , Pratik Patil , Nil-Jana Akpinar , Mathew Monfort

This paper develops a methodology for robust Bayesian inference through the use of disparities. Metrics such as Hellinger distance and negative exponential disparity have a long history in robust estimation in frequentist inference. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-28 Giles Hooker , Anand Vidyashankar

Linear autoencoder models learn an item-to-item weight matrix via convex optimization with L2 regularization and zero-diagonal constraints. Despite their simplicity, they have shown remarkable performance compared to sophisticated…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Jaewan Moon , Hye-young Kim , Jongwuk Lee

Supervised topic models with a logistic likelihood have two issues that potentially limit their practical use: 1) response variables are usually over-weighted by document word counts; and 2) existing variational inference methods make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-10 Jun Zhu , Xun Zheng , Bo Zhang

The Bayesian Context Trees (BCT) framework is a recently introduced, general collection of statistical and algorithmic tools for modelling, analysis and inference with discrete-valued time series. The foundation of this development is built…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Extensive empirical evidence reveals that, for a wide range of different learning methods and datasets, the risk curve exhibits a double-descent (DD) trend as a function of the model size. In a recent paper [Zeyu,Kammoun,Thrampoulidis,2019]…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-03 Ganesh Kini , Christos Thrampoulidis

Continual learning is motivated by the need to adapt to real-world dynamics in tasks and data distribution while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Despite significant advances in continual learning techniques, the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Yihan Zhao , Wenqing Su , Ying Yang

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Central limit theorems (CLTs) for high-dimensional random vectors with dimension possibly growing with the sample size have received a lot of attention in the recent times. Chernozhukov et al. (2017) proved a Berry--Esseen type result for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Somabha Mukherjee , Debapratim Banerjee

The linearized-Laplace approximation (LLA) has been shown to be effective and efficient in constructing Bayesian neural networks. It is theoretically compelling since it can be seen as a Gaussian process posterior with the mean function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Agustinus Kristiadi , Alexander Immer , Runa Eschenhagen , Vincent Fortuin

Traditionally, neural network training has been primarily viewed as an approximation of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). This interpretation originated in a time when training for multiple epochs on small datasets was common and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Samuel Müller , Noah Hollmann , Frank Hutter

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

Contrastive representation learning is a modern paradigm for learning representations of unlabeled data via augmentations -- precisely, contrastive models learn to embed semantically similar pairs of samples (positive pairs) closer than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Anna Van Elst , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar

Large language models (LLMs) enable in-context learning (ICL) by conditioning on a few labeled training examples as a text-based prompt, eliminating the need for parameter updates and achieving competitive performance. In this paper, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Jianing Wang , Chengyu Wang , Chuanqi Tan , Jun Huang , Ming Gao

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Large Language Models (LLMs) trained via Reinforcement Learning (RL) have recently achieved impressive results on reasoning benchmarks. Yet, growing evidence shows that these models often generate longer but ineffective chains of thought…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Jhouben Cuesta-Ramirez , Samuel Beaussant , Mehdi Mounsif

Various logit-adjusted parameterizations of the cross-entropy (CE) loss have been proposed as alternatives to weighted CE for training large models on label-imbalanced data far beyond the zero train error regime. The driving force behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Tina Behnia , Ganesh Ramachandra Kini , Vala Vakilian , Christos Thrampoulidis

In-Context Learning (ICL) allows Large Language Models (LLMs) to adapt to new tasks with just a few examples, but their predictions often suffer from systematic biases, leading to unstable performance in classification. While calibration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Korel Gundem , Juncheng Dong , Dennis Zhang , Vahid Tarokh , Zhengling Qi