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A widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (Watanabe, 2013) is applicable for both regular and singular models in the model selection problem. This criterion tends to overestimate the log marginal likelihood. We identify an…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Toru Imai

Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Run Wang , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Sparse estimation of the precision matrix under high-dimensional scaling constitutes a canonical problem in statistics and machine learning. Numerous regression and likelihood based approaches, many frequentist and some Bayesian in nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic model for computing an interpolative decomposition (ID) in which each column of the observed matrix has its own priority or importance, so that the end result of the decomposition finds a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Jun Lu , Joerg Osterrieder

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of algorithmic methods in Bayesian inference using statistical summaries and computer simulations. ABC has become popular in evolutionary genetics and in other branches of biology. However…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-03 Olivier Francois , Guillaume Laval

A composite likelihood is a non-genuine likelihood function that allows to make inference on limited aspects of a model, such as marginal or conditional distributions. Composite likelihoods are not proper likelihoods and need therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato , Nicola Sartori

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Double-descent refers to the unexpected drop in test loss of a learning algorithm beyond an interpolating threshold with over-parameterization, which is not predicted by information criteria in their classical forms due to the limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Haobo Chen , Yuheng Bu , Gregory W. Wornell

External data borrowing in clinical trial designs has increased in recent years. This is accomplished in the Bayesian framework by specifying informative prior distributions. To mitigate the impact of potential inconsistency (bias) between…

Bayesian phylogenetic methods are generating noticeable enthusiasm in the field of molecular systematics. Many phylogenetic models are often at stake and different approaches are used to compare them within a Bayesian framework. The Bayes…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-22 Serena Arima , Luca Tardella

Unmeasured covariates constitute one of the important problems in causal inference. Even if there are some unmeasured covariates, some instrumental variable methods such as a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) estimator, or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Shunichiro Orihara

Occupancy models are typically used to determine the probability of a species being present at a given site while accounting for imperfect detection. The survey data underlying these models often include information on several predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-09 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Claudio Fuentes , Nikolay Bliznyuk

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

We test three common information criteria (IC) for selecting the order of a Hawkes process with an intensity kernel that can be expressed as a mixture of exponential terms. These processes find application in high-frequency financial data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-05 J. M. Chen , A. G. Hawkes , E. Scalas , M. Trinh

Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) can be viewed as non-linear regression models, where covariates enter the model through a combination of weighted summations and non-linear functions. Although these models have some similarities to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Andrew McInerney , Kevin Burke

Preference-based many-objective optimization faces two obstacles: an expanding space of trade-offs and heterogeneous, context-dependent human value structures. Towards this, we propose a Bayesian framework that learns a small set of latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Manisha Dubey , Sebastiaan De Peuter , Wanrong Wang , Samuel Kaski

This study proposes a novel few-shot crack image classification model based on CLIP and Bayesian optimization. By combining multimodal information and Bayesian approach, the model achieves efficient classification of crack images in a small…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yingchao Zhang , Cheng Liu

Feature selection, identifying a subset of variables that are relevant for predicting a response, is an important and challenging component of many methods in statistics and machine learning. Feature selection is especially difficult and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-01 Charles K. Fisher , Pankaj Mehta

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle