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Satellite images have become increasingly valuable for modelling regional climate change effects. Earth surface forecasting represents one such task that integrates satellite images with meteorological data to capture the joint evolution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Tushar Verma , Sudipan Saha

Here we define natural chaotic systems, like the earths weather and climate system, as chaotic systems which are open to the world so have constantly changing boundary conditions, and measurements of their states are subject to errors. In…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-24 Michael LuValle

Storm surge, the onshore rush of sea water caused by the high winds and low pressure associated with a hurricane, can compound the effects of inland flooding caused by rainfall, leading to loss of property and loss of life for residents of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 Brian J. Reich , Montserrat Fuentes

Elucidating the statistical properties of extreme meteo-climatic events and capturing the physical processes responsible for their occurrence are key steps for improving our understanding of climate variability and climate change and for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-18 Valerio Lucarini , Vera Melinda Galfi , Gabriele Messori , Jacopo Riboldi

How will the climate system respond to anthropogenic forcings? One approach to this question relies on climate model projections. Current climate projections are considerably uncertain. Characterizing and, if possible, reducing this…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

Earth system science is producing increasingly large, high-dimensional datasets from physics based Earth system models to AI-based weather and climate models. Embedding-based representations can make these data searchable through similarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-05-05 Nihanth W. Cherukuru , Matt Rehme , Kirsten J. Mayer , David John Gagne , John Schreck , John Clyne , Charlie Becker

Many physical processes involve spatio-temporal observations, which can be studied at different spatial and temporal scales. For example, rainfall data measured daily by rain gauges can be considered at daily, monthly or annual temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-02 Adway Mitra

The Mediterranean is strongly affected by Extreme Precipitation Events (EPEs), sometimes leading to negative impacts on society, economy, and the environment. Understanding such natural hazards and their drivers is essential to mitigate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-16 Nikolaos Mastrantonas , Pedro Herrera-Lormendez , Linus Magnusson , Florian Pappenberger , Jörg Matschullat

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

Tropical cyclones (TCs), driven by heat exchange between the air and sea, pose a substantial risk to many communities around the world. Accurate characterization of the subsurface ocean thermal response to TC passage is crucial for accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Addison J. Hu , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee , Donata Giglio , Kimberly M. Wood

Omega-blocks can trigger spatially compounding heat-precipitation extremes with severe societal impacts, as seen in September 2023 when a heatwave over France coincided with devastating floods in the Iberian Peninsula and Greece. Although…

Results of direct numerical simulations have been used to show that intensive thermal convection in a horizontal layer and on a hemisphere can be described by the distributed chaos approach. The vorticity and helicity dominated distributed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-22 A. Bershadskii

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Air pollution, a pressing global problem, threatens public health, environmental sustainability, and climate stability. Achieving accurate and scalable forecasting across spatially distributed monitoring stations is challenging due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Junxin Lu , Shiliang Sun

The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events since the beginning of the 21st century has led to the development of new methods to attribute extreme events to anthropogenic climate change. The way in which the extreme event is defined…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Pascal Meurer , Sebastian Buschow , Svenja Szemkus , Petra Friederichs

Accurate prediction of climate in the subseasonal-to-seasonal scale is crucial for disaster preparedness and robust decision making amidst climate change. Yet, forecasting beyond the weather timescale is challenging because it deals with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Juan Nathaniel , Yongquan Qu , Tung Nguyen , Sungduk Yu , Julius Busecke , Aditya Grover , Pierre Gentine

Climate models have become an important tool in the study of climate and climate change, and ensemble experiments consisting of multiple climate-model runs are used in studying and quantifying the uncertainty in climate-model output.…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-15 Stephan R. Sain , Reinhard Furrer , Noel Cressie

Thermal history models, that have been used to understand the geological history of Earth, are now being coupled to climate models to map conditions that allow planets to maintain surface water over geologic time - a criteria considered…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic , William Moore

The detection and analysis of events within massive collections of time-series has become an extremely important task for time-domain astronomy. In particular, many scientific investigations (e.g. the analysis of microlensing and other…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-22 Alexander W Blocker , Pavlos Protopapas
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