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Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference methods yield posterior approximations for simulator models with intractable likelihood. Recently, many works trained neural networks to approximate either the intractable likelihood or the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-01 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Ritabrata Dutta

Turbulent flows have historically presented formidable challenges to predictive computational modeling. Traditional numerical simulations often require vast computational resources, making them infeasible for numerous engineering…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-15 Han Gao , Xu Han , Xiantao Fan , Luning Sun , Li-Ping Liu , Lian Duan , Jian-Xun Wang

Generalized linear models (GLMs) arguably represent the standard approach for statistical regression beyond the Gaussian likelihood scenario. When Bayesian formulations are employed, the general absence of a tractable posterior distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-03 Niccolò Anceschi , Augusto Fasano , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Gaussian process-based latent variable models are flexible and theoretically grounded tools for nonlinear dimension reduction, but generalizing to non-Gaussian data likelihoods within this nonlinear framework is statistically challenging.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-22 Gregory W. Gundersen , Michael Minyi Zhang , Barbara E. Engelhardt

Diffusion models (DMs) have proven to be effective in modeling high-dimensional distributions, leading to their widespread adoption for representing complex priors in Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs). However, current DM-based posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Haoxuan Chen , Yinuo Ren , Martin Renqiang Min , Lexing Ying , Zachary Izzo

Neuronal ensemble inference is a significant problem in the study of biological neural networks. Various methods have been proposed for ensemble inference from experimental data of neuronal activity. Among them, Bayesian inference approach…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-06-03 Shun Kimura , Keisuke Ota , Koujin Takeda

This paper proposes a novel meta-learning approach to optimize a robust portfolio ensemble. The method uses a deep generative model to generate diverse and high-quality sub-portfolios combined to form the ensemble portfolio. The generative…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Kamer Ali Yuksel

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference for logistic regression using appropriate extensions of the ensemble Kalman filter. Two interacting particle systems are proposed that sample from an approximate posterior and prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Diksha Bhandari , Jakiw Pidstrigach , Sebastian Reich

A novel sequential inferential method for Bayesian dynamic generalised linear models is presented, addressing both univariate and multivariate $k$-parametric exponential families. It efficiently handles diverse responses, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Mariane Branco Alves , Helio S. Migon , Silvaneo V. Santos , Raíra Marotta

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Invertible flow-based generative models are an effective method for learning to generate samples, while allowing for tractable likelihood computation and inference. However, the invertibility requirement restricts models to have the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Abhishek Kumar , Ben Poole , Kevin Murphy

A fundamental task in numerical computation is the solution of large linear systems. The conjugate gradient method is an iterative method which offers rapid convergence to the solution, particularly when an effective preconditioner is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Ilse Ipsen , Mark Girolami

The increasing availability of data presents an opportunity to calibrate unknown parameters which appear in complex models of phenomena in the biomedical, physical and social sciences. However, model complexity often leads to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Andrew B. Duncan , Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Gradient-based methods are a prototypical family of explainability techniques, especially for image-based models. Nonetheless, they have several shortcomings in that they (1) require white-box access to models, (2) are vulnerable to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Won Jun Kim , Hyungjin Chung , Jaemin Kim , Sangmin Lee , Byeongsu Sim , Jong Chul Ye

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed to provide an efficient computational solution for maximum expected utility (MEU). We propose a density-free generative method based on quantiles that naturally calculates expected…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-30 Nick Polson , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Vadim Sokolov

The method of complex Langevin simulations is a tool that can be used to tackle the complex-action problem encountered, for instance, in finite-density lattice quantum chromodynamics or real-time lattice field theories. The method is based…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-10-18 Michael Mandl , Michael W. Hansen , Erhard Seiler , Dénes Sexty

Variational empirical Bayes (VEB) methods provide a practically attractive approach to fitting large, sparse, multiple regression models. These methods usually use coordinate ascent to optimize the variational objective function, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Saikat Banerjee , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens