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A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is estimated using statistical or machine learning methods. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Robert Bajons , Lucas Kook

In this paper, we propose a method for addressing the issue of unnoticed catastrophic deployment and domain shift in neural networks for semantic segmentation in autonomous driving. Our approach is based on the idea that deep learning-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Hendrik Vogt , Stefan Buehler , Mark Schutera

Cyber threat intelligence is one of the emerging areas of focus in information security. Much of the recent work has focused on rule-based methods and detection of network attacks using Intrusion Detection algorithms. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Soham Deshmukh , Rahul Rade , Faruk Kazi

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

Lane determination and lane sequence determination are important components for many Connected and Automated Vehicle (CAV) applications. Lane determination has been solved using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) among other methods. The existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Mike Stas , Wang Hu , Jay A. Farrell

We propose the Gaussian-Linear Hidden Markov model (GLHMM), a generalisation of different types of HMMs commonly used in neuroscience. In short, the GLHMM is a general framework where linear regression is used to flexibly parameterise the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-02 Diego Vidaurre , Laura Masaracchia , Nick Y. Larsen , Lenno R. P. T Ruijters , Sonsoles Alonso , Christine Ahrends , Mark W. Woolrich

Labeling of sequential data is a prevalent meta-problem for a wide range of real world applications. While the first-order Hidden Markov Models (HMM) provides a fundamental approach for unsupervised sequential labeling, the basic model does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Maoying Qiao , Wei Bian , Richard Yida Xu , Dacheng Tao

We consider penalized estimation in hidden Markov models (HMMs) with multivariate Normal observations. In the moderate-to-large dimensional setting, estimation for HMMs remains challenging in practice, due to several concerns arising from…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-09 Nicolas Städler , Sach Mukherjee

Evaluating sports players based on their performance shares core challenges with evaluating healthcare providers based on patient outcomes. Drawing on recent advances in healthcare provider profiling, we cast sports player evaluation within…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-27 Herbert P. Susmann , Antonio D'Alessandro

This paper studies continuous authentication for touch interface based mobile devices. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) based behavioral template training approach is presented, which does not require training data from other subjects other than…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Aditi Roy , Tzipora Halevi , Nasir Memon

The dishonest casino is a well-known hidden Markov model (HMM) often used in education to introduce HMMs and graphical models. A sequence of die rolls is observed with the casino switching between a fair and a loaded die. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Martin Haugh , Raghav Singal

Modern scientific studies often require the identification of a subset of relevant explanatory variables, in the attempt to understand an interesting phenomenon. Several statistical methods have been developed to automate this task, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Matteo Sesia , Chiara Sabatti , Emmanuel J. Candès

Automatic estimation of piano fingering is important for understanding the computational process of music performance and applicable to performance assistance and education systems. While a natural way to formulate the quality of fingerings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-03 Eita Nakamura , Yasuyuki Saito , Kazuyoshi Yoshii

We present a model-based approach to learning robust runtime monitors for autonomous systems. Runtime monitors play a crucial role in raising the level of assurance by observing system behavior and predicting potential safety violations. In…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Antonina Skurka , Luko van der Maas , Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah

We propose a new method based on machine learning to \emph{play the devil's advocate} and investigate the impact of unknown systematic effects in a quantitative way. This method proceeds by reversing the measurement process and using the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-09-11 Andrei Golutvin , Aleksandr Iniukhin , Andrea Mauri , Patrick Owen , Nicola Serra , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

Orientation is a crucial skill for football players that becomes a differential factor in a large set of events, especially the ones involving passes. However, existing orientation estimation methods, which are based on computer-vision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Paulino Granero , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro