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Therapeutic advancements in oncology have shifted towards targeted therapy based on genomic aberrations. This necessitates innovative statistical approaches in clinical trials, particularly in master protocol studies. Basket trials, a type…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Antonios Daletzakis , Rutger van den Bor , Vincent van der Noort , Kit CB Roes

Basket trials test a single therapeutic treatment on several patient populations under one master protocol. A desirable adaptive design feature in these studies may be the incorporation of new baskets to an ongoing study. Limited basket…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Libby Daniells , Pavel Mozgunov , Helen Barnett , Alun Bedding , Thomas Jaki

Targeted therapies on the basis of genomic aberrations analysis of the tumor have shown promising results in cancer prognosis and treatment. Regardless of tumor type, trials that match patients to targeted therapies for their particular…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-18 Yanxun Xu , Peter Mueller , Apostolia M Tsimberidou , Donald Berry

Basket trials can efficiently evaluate a single treatment across multiple diseases with a common shared target. Prior methods for randomized basket trials required baskets to have the same sample and effect sizes. To that end, we developed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Sahil S. Patel , Desmond Zeya Chen , David Castle , Clement Ma

Recent substantial advances of molecular targeted oncology drug development is requiring new paradigms for early-phase clinical trial methodologies to enable us to evaluate efficacy of several subtypes simultaneously and efficiently. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-17 Satoshi Hattori , Satoshi Morita

An assurance calculation is a Bayesian alternative to a power calculation. One may be performed to aid the planning of a clinical trial, specifically setting the sample size or to support decisions about whether or not to perform a study.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-29 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

Estimating treatment effects from observational data provides insights about causality guiding many real-world applications such as different clinical study designs, which are the formulations of trials, experiments, and observational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Zhixuan Chu , Stephen L. Rathbun , Sheng Li

Basket trials are increasingly used for the simultaneous evaluation of a new treatment in various patient subgroups under one overarching protocol. We propose a Bayesian approach to sample size determination in basket trials that permit…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Haiyan Zheng , Michael J. Grayling , Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

In oncology, phase II or multiple expansion cohort trials are crucial for clinical development plans. This is because they aid in identifying potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development and confirm the proof of concept.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

Accurate models of clinical actions and their impacts on disease progression are critical for estimating personalized optimal dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) in medical/health research, especially in managing chronic conditions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 William Hua , Hongyuan Mei , Sarah Zohar , Magali Giral , Yanxun Xu

Basket trials examine the efficacy of an intervention in multiple patient subgroups simultaneously. The division into subgroups, called baskets, is based on matching medical characteristics, which may result in small sample sizes within…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Sabrina Schmitt , Lukas Baumann

Basket trials have emerged as a new class of efficient approaches in oncology to evaluate a new treatment in several patient subgroups simultaneously. In this paper, we extend the key ideas to disease areas outside of oncology, developing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-01 Haiyan Zheng , James M. S. Wason

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

Clinical trials are an instrument for making informed decisions based on evidence from well-designed experiments. Here we consider adaptive designs mainly from the perspective of multi-arm Phase II clinical trials, in which one or more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

In several clinical areas, traditional clinical trials often use a responder outcome, a composite endpoint that involves dichotomising a continuous measure. An augmented binary method that improves power whilst retaining the original…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Svetlana Cherlin , James M S Wason

Heterogeneity in efficacy is sometimes observed across baskets in basket trials. In this study, we propose a model-free clustering framework that groups baskets based on transition probabilities derived from the trajectories of treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Masahiro Kojima , Keisuke Hanada , Atsuya Sato

This study proposes a new Bayesian approach to infer binary treatment effects. The approach treats counterfactual untreated outcomes as missing observations and infers them by completing a matrix composed of realized and potential untreated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Masahiro Tanaka

With the recent paradigm shift from cytotoxic drugs to new generation of target therapy and immuno-oncology therapy during oncology drug developments, patients with various cancer (sub)types may be eligible to participate in a basket trial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Junxian Geng , Tianjian Zhou , Ruitao Lin , Guanyu Hu
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