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We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We establish the exponential ergodic property in a weighted total variation distance of continuous-state branching processes with immigration in random environments with competition and catastrophes, under a Lyapunov-type condition and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Shukai Chen , Rongjuan Fang , Lina Ji , Jian Wang

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

The goal of this paper is to describe conditions which guarantee a central limit theorem for random variables, which distributions are controled by hidden Markov chains. We proved that when a Markov chain is ergodic and random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Anna Czapkiewicz , Antoni Dawidowicz

In this work, we are interested in tree-shaped networks of freely vibrating beams which are geometrically exact (GEB) -- in the sense that large motions (deflections, rotations) are accounted for in addition to shearing -- and linked by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Charlotte Rodriguez

The Bayesian probit regression model (Albert and Chib (1993)) is popular and widely used for binary regression. While the improper flat prior for the regression coefficients is an appropriate choice in the absence of any prior information,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

We show that the ergodic, topological and geometric basins coincide for hyperbolic dominated ergodic $cu$-Gibbs states, solving the ``basin problem'' for a wide class of non-uniformly hyperbolic systems. We obtain robust examples of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Vitor Araujo , Vilton Pinheiro

We consider three Bayesian penalized regression models and show that the respective deterministic scan Gibbs samplers are geometrically ergodic regardless of the dimension of the regression problem. We prove geometric ergodicity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Dootika Vats

We introduce the notion of common conditional expectation to investigate Birkhoff's ergodic theorem and subadditive ergodic theorem for invariant upper probabilities. If in addition, the upper probability is ergodic, we construct an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Chunrong Feng , Wen Huang , Chunlin Liu , Huaizhong Zhao

For a general attractive Probabilistic Cellular Automata on S Z d , we prove that the (time-) convergence towards equilibrium of this Markovian parallel dynamics, exponentially fast in the uniform norm, is equivalent to a condition (A).…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Pierre-Yves Louis

This paper investigates the ergodicity of stochastic functional differential equations with jumps under the Wasserstein distance by the generalized coupling method. Two key conditions are verified. The first is verified by establishing an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Mingkun Ye , Yafei Zhai , Zuozheng Zhang

We consider non-conservative positive semigroups and obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for uniform exponential contraction in weighted total variation norm. This ensures the existence of Perron eigenelements and provides…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Vincent Bansaye , Bertrand Cloez , Pierre Gabriel , Aline Marguet

We prove exponential decay of pair correlations for 1D stationary point processes when spacings satisfy a Markov condition, geometric ergodicity, and a condition on exponential moments. The conditions are phrased for stationary sequences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Yoon Jun Chan , Markus Heydenreich , Sabine Jansen

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

In this paper, we investigate the exponential ergodicity in a Wasserstein-type distance for a damping Hamiltonian dynamics with state-dependent and non-local collisions, which indeed is a special case of piecewise deterministic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Jianhai Bao , Jian Wang

We study a simple Markov chain, the switch chain, on the set of all perfect matchings in a bipartite graph. This Markov chain was proposed by Diaconis, Graham and Holmes as a possible approach to a sampling problem arising in Statistics. We…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Martin Dyer , Mark Jerrum , Haiko Müller

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

We prove an ergodic theorem for Markov chains indexed by the Ulam-Harris-Neveu tree over large subsets with arbitrary shape under two assumptions: with high probability, two vertices in the large subset are far from each other and have…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Julien Weibel

Let $P$ be a Markov kernel on a measurable space $\X$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. This paper provides explicit connections between the $V$-geometric ergodicity of $P$ and that of finite-rank nonnegative sub-Markov kernels $\Pc_k$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular algorithm for minimizing objective functions that arise in machine learning. For constant step-sized SGD, the iterates form a Markov chain on a general state space. Focusing on a class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-26 David Shirokoff , Philip Zaleski