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In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

We present two algorithms by which a set of short, unbiased trajectories can be iteratively reweighted to obtain various observables. The first algorithm estimates the stationary (steady state) distribution of a system by iteratively…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

This paper is a quantitative analysis on packet switched network with a view to generalize load balancing and determination of appropriate routing algorithm in multipath environment. Several routing algorithms have been introduced for…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-07-15 G. G. Md. Nawaz Ali , Rajib Chakraborty , Md. Shihabul Alam , Edward Chan

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Simulations with an adaptive time-dependent bias, such as metadynamics, enable an efficient exploration of the conformational space of a system. However, the dynamic information of the system is altered by the bias. With infrequent…

Sampling from unnormalized densities using diffusion models has emerged as a powerful paradigm. However, while recent approaches that use least-squares `matching' objectives have improved scalability, they often necessitate significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Denis Blessing , Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner , Egor Malitskiy , Gerhard Neumann

This article generalizes the study of branched/ramified optimal transportation to those with capacity constraints. Each admissible transport network studied here is represented by a transport multi-path between measures, with a capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Qinglan Xia , Haotian Sun

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

In this paper, we propose THOMAS, a joint multi-agent trajectory prediction framework allowing for an efficient and consistent prediction of multi-agent multi-modal trajectories. We present a unified model architecture for simultaneous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Thomas Gilles , Stefano Sabatini , Dzmitry Tsishkou , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

This article proposes Multinomial Probit Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (MPBART) as a multinomial probit extension of BART - Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (Chipman et al (2010)). MPBART is flexible to allow inclusion of predictors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Bereket P. Kindo , Hao Wang , Edsel A. Peña

We derive a novel efficient scheme to measure the rate constant of transitions between stable states separated by high free energy barriers in a complex environment within the framework of transition path sampling. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Titus S. van Erp , Daniele Moroni , Peter G. Bolhuis

Combining the mutual information criterion with a forward feature selection strategy offers a good trade-off between optimality of the selected feature subset and computation time. However, it requires to set the parameter(s) of the mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-09-26 Damien François , Fabrice Rossi , Vincent Wertz , Michel Verleysen

We present a one-way shooting algorithm for transition path sampling that accepts every proposed trajectory, yet samples the correct transition path ensemble for systems with overdamped stochastic dynamics. The method is based on two key…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-10 Magdalena Häupl , Sebastian Falkner , Peter G. Bolhuis , Christoph Dellago , Alessandro Coretti

This paper presents a hybrid optimization methodology for parameter estimation of reactive transport systems. Using reduced-order advection-diffusion-reaction (ADR) models, the computational requirements of global optimization with dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Marcus Johan Schytt , Halldór Gauti Pétursson , John Bagterp Jørgensen

In observational studies, the assumption of sufficient overlap (positivity) is fundamental for the identification and estimation of causal effects. Failing to account for this assumption yields inaccurate and potentially infeasible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jaehyuk Jang , Suehyun Kim , Kwonsang Lee

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

The multinomial probit Bayesian additive regression trees (MPBART) framework was proposed by Kindo et al. (KD), approximating the latent utilities in the multinomial probit (MNP) model with BART (Chipman et al. 2010). Compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Yizhen Xu , Joseph W. Hogan , Michael J. Daniels , Rami Kantor , Ann Mwangi

This paper presents a spatio-temporal inverse optimal control framework for understanding interactions in multi-agent systems (MAS). We employ a graph representation approach and model the dynamics of interactions between agents as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-04 Sara Honarvar , Yancy Diaz-Mercado

Ensemble methods are widely employed to improve generalization in machine learning. This has also prompted the adoption of ensemble learning for the knowledge graph embedding (KGE) models in performing link prediction. Typical approaches to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Rupesh Sapkota , Caglar Demir , Arnab Sharma , Axel-Cyrille Ngonga Ngomo

The posterior in probabilistic programs with stochastic support decomposes as a weighted sum of the local posterior distributions associated with each possible program path. We show that making predictions with this full posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth