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Related papers: Exploration in the Limit

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In this paper we present theory and algorithms enabling classes of Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems to continuously and incrementally improve with a-priori quantifiable guarantees - or more specifically remove classification errors -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Ivan Y. Tyukin , Alexander N. Gorban , Alistair A. McEwan , Sepehr Meshkinfamfard , Lixin Tang

Confidence sequences based on test martingales provide time-uniform uncertainty quantification for the mean of bounded IID observations without parametric distributional assumptions. Their practical efficiency, however, depends strongly on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Valentin Kilian , Stefano Cortinovis , François Caron

The Fisher information approximation (FIA) is an implementation of the minimum description length principle for model selection. Unlike information criteria such as AIC or BIC, it has the advantage of taking the functional form of a model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Daniel W. Heck , Morten Moshagen , Edgar Erdfelder

Multi-armed Bandit (MAB) algorithms identify the best arm among multiple arms via exploration-exploitation trade-off without prior knowledge of arm statistics. Their usefulness in wireless radio, IoT, and robotics demand deployment on edge…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-08 S. V. Sai Santosh , Sumit J. Darak

Recently multi-armed bandit problem arises in many real-life scenarios where arms must be sampled in batches, due to limited time the agent can wait for the feedback. Such applications include biological experimentation and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-22 Shengyu Cao , Simai He , Ruoqing Jiang , Jin Xu , Hongsong Yuan

We consider the problem of chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function and satisfy constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The real world declinations of this problem are particularly…

We study the problem of Robust Outlier Arm Identification (ROAI), where the goal is to identify arms whose expected rewards deviate substantially from the majority, by adaptively sampling from their reward distributions. We compute the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-22 Yinglun Zhu , Sumeet Katariya , Robert Nowak

In this paper, we study a variant of best-arm identification involving elements of risk sensitivity and communication constraints. Specifically, the goal of the learner is to identify the arm with the highest quantile reward, while the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Ivan Lau , Jonathan Scarlett

We consider the fixed-budget best arm identification problem where the goal is to find the arm of the largest mean with a fixed number of samples. It is known that the probability of misidentifying the best arm is exponentially small to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-28 Junpei Komiyama , Taira Tsuchiya , Junya Honda

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Mohammad Hossein Rohban , Prakash Ishwar , Birant Orten , William C. Karl , Venkatesh Saligrama

We present an algorithm, "constrained successive accept or reject (CSAR)," for the problem of identifying the subset of top feasible-arms from a given finite set of arms with the limited sampling-budget equal to a given time-horizon when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Hyeong Soo Chang

Previous research on PAC-Bayes learning theory has focused extensively on establishing tight upper bounds for test errors. A recently proposed training procedure called PAC-Bayes training, updates the model toward minimizing these bounds.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xitong Zhang , Avrajit Ghosh , Guangliang Liu , Rongrong Wang

The practical adoption of sampling-based inference (SAI) in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) remains limited, partly due to persistent misconceptions about the feasibility and efficiency of sampling. This position paper argues that SAI has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Emanuel Sommer , David Rügamer

We study fixed budget constrained best-arm identification in grouped bandits, where each arm consists of multiple independent attributes with stochastic rewards. An arm is considered feasible only if all its attributes' means are above a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Raunak Mukherjee , Sharayu Moharir

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient optimization algorithm widely employed across various applications. In some challenging BO tasks, input uncertainty arises due to the inevitable randomness in the optimization process, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lin Yang , Junlong Lyu , Wenlong Lyu , Zhitang Chen

We consider two multi-armed bandit problems with $n$ arms: (i) given an $\epsilon > 0$, identify an arm with mean that is within $\epsilon$ of the largest mean and (ii) given a threshold $\mu_0$ and integer $k$, identify $k$ arms with means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-18 Julian Katz-Samuels , Kevin Jamieson

Bayesian decision theory advocates the Bayes classifier as the optimal approach for minimizing the risk in machine learning problems. Current deep learning algorithms usually solve for the optimal classifier by \emph{implicitly} estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Chaoqun Du , Yulin Wang , Shiji Song , Gao Huang

This work considers the problem of selective-sampling for best-arm identification. Given a set of potential options $\mathcal{Z}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, a learner aims to compute with probability greater than $1-\delta$, $\arg\max_{z\in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Romain Camilleri , Zhihan Xiong , Maryam Fazel , Lalit Jain , Kevin Jamieson

We lay the foundations of a non-parametric theory of best-arm identification in multi-armed bandits with a fixed budget T. We consider general, possibly non-parametric, models D for distributions over the arms; an overarching example is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Antoine Barrier , Aurélien Garivier , Gilles Stoltz

Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) with neural networks can solve probabilistic inverse problems orders of magnitude faster than classical methods. However, ABI is not yet sufficiently robust for widespread and safe application. When…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner
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