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The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly non-trivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models…

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

We present a comparative study of two methods for the reduction of the dimensionality of a system of ordinary differential equations that exhibits time-scale separation. Both methods lead to a reduced system of stochastic differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-11-11 Panagiotis Stinis

The Dynamic Mode Decomposition has proved to be a very efficient technique to study dynamic data. This is entirely a data-driven approach that extracts all necessary information from data snapshots which are commonly supposed to be sampled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Aleksandr Katrutsa , Sergey Utyuzhnikov , Ivan Oseledets

In this paper we consider the problem of deriving approximate autonomous dynamics for a number of variables of a dynamical system, which are weakly coupled to the remaining variables. In a previous paper we have used the Ruelle response…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Jeroen Wouters , Valerio Lucarini

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

In many time-dependent problems of practical interest the parameters and/or initial conditions entering the equations describing the evolution of the various quantities exhibit uncertainty. One way to address the problem of how this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Jing Li , Panos Stinis

Energy transport equations are derived directly from full molecular dynamics models as coarse-grained description. With the local energy chosen as the coarse-grained variables, we apply the Mori-Zwanzig formalism to derive a reduced model,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-19 Weiqi Chu , Xiantao Li

This paper presents a novel methodology that uses surrogate models in the form of neural networks to reduce the computation time of simulation-based optimization of a reference trajectory. Simulation-based optimization is necessary when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Evelyn Ruff , Rebecca Russell , Matthew Stoeckle , Piero Miotto , Jonathan P. How

Flow-based methods for sampling and generative modeling use continuous-time dynamical systems to represent a {transport map} that pushes forward a source measure to a target measure. The introduction of a time axis provides considerable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Panos Tsimpos , Zhi Ren , Jakob Zech , Youssef Marzouk

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This study presents the extension of the data-driven optimal prediction approach to the dynamical system with control. The optimal prediction is used to analyze dynamical systems in which the states consist of resolved and unresolved…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Aleksandr Katrutsa , Ivan Oseledets , Sergey Utyuzhnikov

In climate systems, physiological models, optics, and many more, surrogate models are developed to reconstruct chaotic dynamical systems. We introduce four data-driven measures using global attractor properties to evaluate the quality of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-12 Luci Fumagalli , Kathy Lüdge , Jana de Wiljes , Heikki Haario , Lina Jaurigue

Robotic systems must be able to quickly and robustly make decisions when operating in uncertain and dynamic environments. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be used to compute optimal policies with little prior knowledge about the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-09-13 Yunpeng Pan , Xinyan Yan , Evangelos Theodorou , Byron Boots

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

Many numerical and learning algorithms rely on the solution of the Monge-Kantorovich problem and Wasserstein distances, which provide appropriate distributional metrics. While the natural approach is to treat the problem as an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Mohsen Sadr , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Hossein Gorji

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

Developing reduced-order models for turbulent flows, which contain dynamics over a wide range of scales, is an extremely challenging problem. In statistical mechanics, the Mori-Zwanzig (MZ) formalism provides a mathematically formal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-22 Yifeng Tian , Yen Ting Lin , Marian Anghel , Daniel Livescu

In many time-dependent problems of practical interest the parameters entering the equations describing the evolution of the various quantities exhibit uncertainty. One way to address the problem of how this uncertainty impacts the solution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Panagiotis Stinis
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