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Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Data fusion models based on Coupled Matrix and Tensor Factorizations (CMTF) have been effective tools for joint analysis of data from multiple sources. While the vast majority of CMTF models are based on the strictly multilinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Carla Schenker , Xiulin Wang , David Horner , Morten A. Rasmussen , Evrim Acar

Many modern data sets require inference methods that can estimate the shared and individual-specific components of variability in collections of matrices that change over time. Promising methods have been developed to analyze these types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Arkaprava Roy , Jana Schaich-Borg , David B Dunson

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

We propose a Weighted Autoregressive Varying gatE (WAVE) attention mechanism equipped with both Autoregressive (AR) and Moving-average (MA) components. It can adapt to various attention mechanisms, enhancing and decoupling their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

The matrix factor model has drawn growing attention for its advantage in achieving two-directional dimension reduction simultaneously for matrix-structured observations. In this paper, we propose a simple iterative least squares algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-02 Yong He , Ran Zhao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Factorization Machines (FM), a general predictor that can efficiently model feature interactions in linear time, was primarily proposed for collaborative recommendation and have been broadly used for regression, classification and ranking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Yu Geng , Liang Lan

The research paper addresses linear decomposition of time series of non-additive metrics that allows for the identification and interpretation of contributing factors (input features) of variance. Non-additive metrics, such as ratios, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Alex Glushkovsky

Recent quantitative parameter mapping methods including MR fingerprinting (MRF) collect a time series of images that capture the evolution of magnetization. The focus of this work is to introduce a novel approach termed as Deep Factor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Yan Chen , James H. Holmes , Curtis Corum , Vincent Magnotta , Mathews Jacob

This paper proposes the \emph{multiresolution mode decomposition} as a novel model for adaptive time series analysis. The main conceptual innovation is the introduction of the \emph{multiresolution intrinsic mode function} (MIMF) of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-30 Haizhao Yang

Collaborative filtering is one of the most popular techniques in designing recommendation systems, and its most representative model, matrix factorization, has been wildly used by researchers and the industry. However, this model suffers…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Yixin Su , Sarah Monazam Erfani , Rui Zhang

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

Matrix completion tackles the task of predicting missing values in a low-rank matrix based on a sparse set of observed entries. It is often assumed that the observation pattern is generated uniformly at random or has a very specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yudong Chen , Xumei Xi , Christina Lee Yu

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

Tabular data are central to many applications, especially longitudinal data in healthcare, where missing values are common, undermining model fidelity and reliability. Prior imputation methods either impose restrictive assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Dengyi Liu , Honggang Wang , Hua Fang

Recent studies have shown that by introducing prior knowledge, multi-scale analysis of complex and non-stationary time series in real environments can achieve good results in the field of long-term forecasting. However, affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Bin Wang , Heming Yang , Jinfang Sheng

To quantify how well theoretical predictions of structural ensembles agree with experimental measurements, we depend on the accuracy of forward models. These models are computational frameworks that generate observable quantities from…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Robert M. Raddi , Tim Marshall , Vincent A. Voelz

Time series generation is critical for a wide range of applications, which greatly supports downstream analytical and decision-making tasks. However, the inherent temporal heterogeneous induced by localized perturbations present significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Zirui Liu , Xianquan Wang , Yitong Zhou , Qi Liu

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Coupled matrix and tensor factorizations (CMTF) have emerged as an effective data fusion tool to jointly analyze data sets in the form of matrices and higher-order tensors. The PARAFAC2 model has shown to be a promising alternative to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Carla Schenker , Xiulin Wang , Evrim Acar